The following essay speculating on Europe’s immediate future was published in the Austrian journal Neue Ordnung*. Many thanks to JLH for the translation:
Actions Will Speak
by Dr. Wolfgang Dvorak-Stocker
Throw a frog into hot water and it jumps right out. But if you raise the temperature slowly, it will stay in the water until it dies. Thanks be to Mrs. Merkel. She has raised the temperature abruptly. Maybe we will jump out of the system that is surrendering our culture to a slow death by heat.
For decades, European elites have been pursuing the shattering of the European national cultures and transformation of the continent after the American model. The writer Barbara Spectre has named what she considers compelling reasons for that. This plan is now in serious peril. The frog may jump out of the water.
Members of the European right have grappled for a long time with the implications of the ideas of Mrs. Spectre and company. Journals like Neue Ordnung have explained why we consider the displacement of people and the dissolution of nations to be just as against human nature and disaster-prone, as the battle against religion and the destruction of families and gender identity. We have warned for decades of the consequences of demographic developments. We have repeatedly pointed out what perils the decreed multiculturalism and Islam’s expansion in Europe harbor, particularly for the democratic constitutional state. And we have made clear why the welfare state is being destroyed by mass immigration.
The time for arguments is past. That does not mean we should stop arguing, but we must understand that we are essentially only repeating what we have been saying for decades. The powers-that-be have brought things to a point where it is no longer enough to contend the pros and cons in the comfortable armchairs of public discourse. Right now — like it or not — actions will do the speaking. In the 1960s, British conservative, Enoch Powell, spoke of “rivers of blood” to which immigration policy would lead. That time has now come.
And the thinking in terms of parliamentary cycles also belongs in the past. It is of no consequence whether some patriotic party gains a few percentage points in the next election, or not. The decision will be made in the next year or two. Legally exercised forms of resistance such as demonstrations’ proving to be completely futile — ridiculed and slandered by the media — will have consequences. This is already clear. And we, who have warned of these developments, will again be the scapegoats, as Ernst Jünger knew: “After an earthquake, it’s the seismographers who get beaten up.”
We are, in the formulation of Viennese political scientist, Michael Ley, “at war.” We are undergoing a hijra — a jihad invasion. Wherever this leads, the years 2015-2017 will mean something to students a thousand years from now.
There are various possible directions of development, but three of them are probable:
1. Radical Change
Police and volunteers are reaching the end of their ability to cope. Government finances are overextended. The immigrants’ expectations of instant prosperity — to some extent promised by the people smugglers — that everyone will immediately get a car and a house, are disappointed. Realistic estimates by economists assume that fewer than 30% of the immigrants can be placed in the labor market. Conflicts within the refugee camps, but also with police and the local population, will increase. There will be fatalities.
In the local elections in Spring, 2016, AfD will enter the state legislatures with double-digit results, the CSU will slam on the emergency brake, Merkel will step down, there will be new elections. A fundamental change in the party system seems possible, similar to what has already happened in Italy and Greece. The hopes of many AfD adherents seem to focus on that. If it comes to a center-right government, the military, the police and the bureaucracy would be prepared — indeed just waiting for the setting of a new political leadership.
Then Germany could really close the borders. The result would be a domino effect. What does Austria do? How will Slovenia, Croatia, Serbia act? If it comes to a rigorous closing of the border, some part of the immigrants will probably try to force their way north. Plundering, battles and fatalities will be the result in southeast Europe. And to be expected in Germany is that leftist extremist forces will join the immigrants in throwing themselves in the path of the new government. Here too, escalation will accelerate.