The Droning of Transnistria


Map of Moldova showing Transnistria (predominantly Russian) and Gagauzia (predominantly Turkic)

Transnistria (“across the Dniester”) is a region of Moldova located between the Dniester River and the Ukrainian border. It is inhabited mainly by ethnic Russians, and has been quasi-autonomous since the breakup of the Soviet Union.

Moldova proper is populated by ethnic Romanians who speak a dialect of Romanian. Another fragmented ethnic region in Moldova, Gagauzia, is populated by descendants of Turkic people who settled there during the Middle Ages.

Since the war in Ukraine began, Transnistria has been targeted by drones launched from outside its borders. Mysterious explosions have been reported on multiple occasions.

Many thanks to Hellequin GB for translating this article from Anti-Spiegel:

More attacks on Transnistria from Ukrainian territory

Unnoticed by Western media, attacks from Ukrainian territory continue and a Ukrainian presidential aide has openly threatened war.

There are topics that don’t appear in Western media. This applies, for example, to all the overly frank statements made by Ukrainian President Zelensky’s most important adviser. This is Alexei Arestovych, whose name you should remember; see here for details.

Arestovych openly said that Ukraine is ready at any time to expand the war to Transnistria. Since Russian peacekeeping troops have been stationed there since 1992, this would be a very unpleasant situation for Russia, because the Russian troops there would be effectively cut off from supplies. Russia would either have to abandon them there or massively change its strategy in Ukraine to come to the aid of the soldiers there.

Western media recently reported on an explosion in Transnistria, but Western media have not heard anything about the fact that there have been constant new explosions and overflights by armed Ukrainian drones since then.

Russian television reported on this, and I translated the report. Before we get to the translation, however, I want to remind you once again what the region is about, because perhaps not all readers will be aware of it.

Moldova and Transnistria

Moldova is a small country with a short but difficult history. Located between Ukraine and Romania, the country is a former Soviet republic that experienced civil war after the collapse of the Soviet Union. Since then, the country has been divided and consists of Moldova, which is recognized under international law, and the breakaway Republic of Transnistria. The civil war was ended by an agreement between Moldova and Russia, and Russian peacekeepers have been protecting the former front line for almost twenty years now.

Moldova is comparable to Ukraine because it is a multi-ethnic country where the dominant Moldovans, who are often referred to as Romanians, discriminate against the languages of other minorities. For example, although Russian is widely spoken and used primarily in cities and in business, it does not have the status of a national language. Exactly these ethnic problems were the reason for the civil war at the time.

Moldova has written into its constitution that it is a neutral state. However, in late 2020, the pro-Western, US-educated politician Maia Sandu, closely associated with George Soros, narrowly won Moldova’s presidential election. After that she also replaced the government with controversial political maneuvers in 2021 and has been consistently leading the country West since the summer of 2021.

After taking power completely, she openly announced a “cleansing” of the country’s judiciary in the summer of 2021, which was presented positively in the West and as a measure to fight corruption. In truth, it was a political purge, as Sandu wants to cement her country’s westward course and remove its opponents who want to preserve the country’s neutrality. Sandu also spoke of needing support from the USA for the upcoming reforms and shortly thereafter described the USA as an important strategic partner.

As early as January there were indications that the situation in the region was getting worse; you can find details about that here.

Now we come to the translation of the report from Sunday evening’s news review from Russian television on the current situation in Transnistria.

Start of translation:

Transnistria: Moldova tightens blockade

Officially, Transnistria is on the “red” terrorism threat level. As recently as Thursday a drone with explosives launched from Ukraine was neutralized over the territory of the republic. Four explosions occurred near the village of Voronkovo, near the Ukrainian border, on Friday evening. A report from Transnistria.

The site of the explosion is cordoned off. The area may not be entered. Behind the cordon is a Military Unit that has been the target of several terrorist attacks over the past two days. Another provocation by the Ukrainian Secret Services.

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Does Poland Have Designs on Western Ukraine?

Many thanks to Hellequin GB for translating this article from Anti-Spiegel:

Poland’s president speaks openly about annexation of western Ukraine

It’s not reported in the West, but Poland’s president spoke openly in a speech about Poland’s ambitions to annex parts of western Ukraine.

I have already reported that in Russia it was reported that there are ambitions in Poland to occupy parts of western Ukraine that Poland considers to be its historical possessions. Poland wants to send “peacekeeping forces” to Ukraine for this purpose, but the US has clearly said that in the event of a clash with the Russian military, Poland need not hope for NATO protection, because it would not be a Russian attack on Poland if Poland invaded Ukraine.

This and many other interesting details were reported by Russian TV on Sunday in its weekly news review and I have translated the Russian report on the subject. Based on the pictures shown, I recommend that you also look at the report, because together with my translation it is understandable even without knowledge of Russian. You probably need a VPN to view the report, though.

Start of translation:

Who drives Ukraine to war the most

Poland has even stopped hiding plans to capture several regions of western Ukraine. There it is presented as “reunification” with historical Polish possessions. Polish President Andrzej Duda confirmed this on Friday: “There will no longer be a border between our countries, Poland and Ukraine. That we live together on this land, building our common happiness and a common strength that enables us to ward off any danger or threat that may arise.”

One more detail: In May, the large-scale military exercise Defender Europe 2022 will take place in Poland. 18,000 soldiers and several thousand pieces of weapons technology will be involved in the maneuvers. The Polish Ministry of Defense has warned citizens that military equipment will be on the move in the country during the month. It was requested that they not photograph the movement of the equipment and not post any photos on the web.

Does President Zelensky understand what the Poles are planning? Probably yes. But he can’t do anything. He will do what his Western Lords and Masters tell him to do. If the West tells him to give it to the Poles, he will. Ukrainians are becoming a national minority.

A report from Ukraine

The Ukrainian territorial defense was sent to the front; the decision was made by the Verkhovna Rada. Demonstrations of relatives immediately formed in front of the military recruiting offices. This is the Transcarpathian town of Hust, where most of the residents are of Hungarian descent, but for some reason they are the first to be drafted into the Ukrainian army. And after these spontaneous protests, Hungary found itself among the enemies of Ukraine. It is also against the anti-Russian sanctions. The Prime Minister of Hungary is listed on the Mirotvorets website. (Russian translator’s note: Mirotvorets is a website run by Ukrainian nationalists where they post the personal information of people they consider to be opponents of Ukraine, and many of the people listed there were murdered. The site is supported by the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs, by the way .)

“Hungary is openly committed to its cooperation with the Russian Federation. Besides, it thought it could take part of our territory from us,” said Alexei Danilov, secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine. The Hungarian Foreign Ministry replies that this is a lie.

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The Kosovo Question Applied to the DPR and the LPR

In the following video Russian President Vladimir Putin explains the reasoning behind his recognition of the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Luhansk People’s Republic (LPR) as sovereign entities. I find his logic compelling, but it leads me to an entirely different conclusion: that Kosovo should never have achieved international recognition as an independent state.

This clip was translated from the Italian voice-over. Many thanks to HeHa for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the subtitling:

Video transcript:

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Viktor Orbán: The Red Line is the Energy Embargo

In the following video Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán talks about where he draws the line on sanctions against Russia. He makes it clear that an energy embargo is off-limits because of the damage it would do to the Hungarian economy.

This clip was translated from its Italian subtitles. Many thanks to HeHa for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the English subtitling:

Video transcript:

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The Anti-Narrative on Ukraine

It’s all but impossible for Americans to acquire information about the war in Ukraine that does not consist of propaganda and/or disinformation. Almost everything we encounter is derived from Western governments or the mainstream media, which act uniformly to promote the globalist party line. Nothing is allowed through that does not support the Narrative on Ukraine.

To find anything different, we have to examine sources that derive their information from pro-Russian propaganda and/or disinformation. Those are our only two choices. For all intents and purposes, truly independent and objective reporting on the ground in Ukraine simply doesn’t exist.

Since most of the material available to us is drawn from pro-Zelensky propaganda, I like to post reports drawn from the propaganda for the other side, in an effort to achieve a sort of balance.

Hellequin GB has translated three articles from Anti-Spiegel, a German-language site that presents the Russian viewpoint, and uses translations from Russian media. Call it the “Anti-Narrative”.

Concerning the first article, the translator says:

Since none of us really knows what is going on over there, I leave it to everyone to make up their own mind about this article from Thomas Röper. But still, it should give people some food for thought about why the “Azov Battalion” and the Ukrainian state, which were not so long ago branded by the mainstream media and Western governments as “neo-Nazi” and the most corrupt place on Earth, became almost overnight the West’s darling.

The translated article:

Mariupol

Azov demands: “15 civilians for a ton of food and medicine”

The Azov Battalion’s latest “proposal” for the “evacuation” of civilians is that they are willing to exchange 15 civilians for a ton of food and medicine.

Since the Azov battalion let the first (and so far only) group of about a hundred civilians out of the Azovstal steelworks in Mariupol on Sunday, further offers from the Russian side to let civilians out of the steelworks via humanitarian corridors have gone unheeded. Civilians who escaped from the steel mill on Sunday have confirmed to the international press that they were being held there against their will by Azov militants. Der Spiegel, for example (Beim Lügen erwischt: Welt und Spiegel verändern (heimlich) ihre Artikel — Anti-Spiegel), brazenly lied about it and, against its better knowledge, completely misrepresented the statements by the witnesses.

Since the civilians who escaped also said that there were several hundred other civilians in the catacombs under the steelworks who were not being let out, it is clear that the Russians were right in their accusations against the Azov fighters: they were holding the civilians hostage and as human shields. That became more than clear afterwards, because since the first civilians came out a few days ago, the Russian army has opened humanitarian corridors every day, but no one has come out.

Now the Azov fighters have finally dropped their masks and made a new “proposal” to the Russian army: they are ready to let the civilians go, but only in exchange for food and medicine. They even named a “price” for the people: 15 civilians in exchange for a ton of food and medicine.

This is not Russian propaganda, by the way, because no denial came from Kyiv or from Azov after the Russian army reported it. Why deny? In Kyiv, one can rely on the Western media not to mention this.

Russia has not yet rejected the “proposal” and has not agreed to it either. The comments in Russia speak instead of “methods used by terrorists” and of “hostage-taking” and “human trafficking”.

Unlike Western media, Russian TV reported this news on the evening news in a report I translated on the current situation in Mariupol.

Start of translation:

The Russian military reopened a humanitarian corridor in Mariupol today. It will remain open both tomorrow and Saturday to allow civilians to leave the Azovstal plant and nationalists to lay down their arms and surrender. But the militants responded with a new, this time particularly cynical, offer: the exchange of civilians for food. They even made a price offer: 15 people for a ton of food and medicine. The Kremlin has already pointed out that such demands are usually made by terrorists. A report from Mariupol.

The captain on the bridge stares out to sea through the glass pane shattered by Ukrainian shrapnel. His Tsarevna, as the dry cargo ship is called, has not been able to leave the berth for three months. The port of Mariupol does not let the sailors go.

“On February 21 they came into the port and on February 24 at 10 a.m. the port was closed. The other ships were evacuated because one burned down and the other, the Lady Augusta, has technical problems. We are waiting for the blue corridor to open and we can set sail,” says Pavel Pavlov, captain of the ship Tsarevna.

But now it is simply impossible to sail — the Ukrainian nationalists, who have made what was once the largest port on the Sea of Azov their fortress, have hidden behind the crews as if behind human shields. (Russian translator’s note: During one of my trips to the conflict zone, I met crew members of one of the ships, since after their liberation they stayed in the same hotel as us journalists, during which time I spoke with them at length.)

When the nationalists withdrew from their positions in the port of Mariupol, they blocked the fairway with a sunken ship. Leaving the port is now impossible. In addition, the militants of the Kiev regime laid nine sea mines in the port, which are now chaotically moving somewhere in the area waters.

Specialists from the DNR [Donetsk People’s Republic] Ministry of Emergency Situations are working on clearing the port and have already been able to defuse several anti-ship mines. The reconstruction of the port infrastructure has also begun. According to the authorities of the republic, the first cargo ship is expected to leave Mariupol at the end of May.

Today the artillery cannonade over the city’s industrial area has subsided. After the coalition forces of Russia and the Donetsk People’s Republic unilaterally ceased fire, they again opened a humanitarian corridor for the civilians staying at the Azovstal complex. It will remain open from 8 a.m. to 6 p.m. until May 7 inclusive. The Azov nationalists, who continue to hold civilians there without giving them any information about the possibility of leaving the plant, are now safely blocked in the remains of the steel mill.

“We were intimidated: ‘You’re not going out here. Then you will be shot.’ They put it this way: Nobody is holding you, but there is no guarantee that you will get out,” people said.

Thanks to the efforts of the Russian military, more than a hundred people were able to leave Azovstal on April 30 and May 1. However, immediately after this, the Azov fighters again went into firing position and tried to break through in small groups. This was followed by massive artillery attacks on the positions of the nationalists.

And now the Russian side is again declaring a ceasefire. Today, however, the humanitarian corridors are empty. At the same time, the Azov militants have stated that they do not intend to release more civilians and have set conditions: Hostages in exchange for food and medicine. They even set their own exchange rate: 15 people for a ton of food and medicine. This is how terrorists usually negotiate, like they did for example in Syria. However, the similarity between the methods of the Middle Eastern radicals and the neo-Nazis in Ukraine does not end there. The fighters of the Kiev regime also prefer to fight the civilian population than the Russian armed forces and continue to shell civilian targets in the cities of Donbass on a daily basis.

“The kids don’t go out because they’re scared. You don’t know what could come from above at any moment. They sleep in the basement or under the bed,” says this woman.

Since the end of February, attacks by Ukrainian armed forces and nationalists have already killed a hundred civilians in the DNR and wounded five times as many.

end of translation

The second article talks about the deceitful games being played concerning the flow of Russian natural gas to Central Europe:

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Red Dragon, Dead Dragon

They say demography is destiny. According to the following report by H. Numan, China’s destiny is in an accelerating tailspin.

Red dragon, dead dragon

by H. Numan

I’ve written an essay in which I showed that the People’s Republic of China (‘China’) isn’t going to attack the Republic of China (‘Taiwan’). They probably still won’t, but the whole situation has changed with the advent of the Russo-Ukrainian war. China is on the way to oblivion. In 2050 the country will have fewer than 700 million citizens. Worse, the Chinese government knows it. That changes everything.

It won’t be through war, thank God. Nor by famine or diseases. Though all will definitely play a part in the future. It’s because of demographics. The One Child Policy has been way more effective and has lasting effects far beyond what policymakers could imagine. China will die slowly of old age. Not in the distant future, but (Mark 9:1) within the lifetime of those here standing. By 2050 the Chinese population will be half of what it is today. The shrinkage didn’t start this year, as was expected by the Chinese bureau for lies statistics, but had already begun around 2010. They miscalculated and included about 100 million that should have been born but weren’t due to the one child policy.

Demographics are complicated

Let’s have a look at how demographics work. We can’t foretell what individuals will do when they reach a certain age, but we can do that fairly accurately for large groups. Those groups are called cohorts in demographics; they consist of males and females of the same age bracket, in periods of five years. A generation is the period a cohort needs to start reproducing, usually 20-25 years.

We can split the population into roughly three groups: juveniles (< 21), adults (21-65) and pensioners (>65). Every five years a cohort moves up one spot on the graphs. On the left side are males, on the right side females.

The first graph is Niger, a country with a fast-growing population. Observe a huge number of infants and a very small number of pensioners. This kind of growth is disastrous. In 15 years the largest cohort (bottom) will start reproducing. Making the bottom cohort even larger. A country like this runs out of resources quickly.

The next graph is Sweden, which has a stable population. Though when you look at the bottom, they are slowly shrinking. The last graph is Singapore, which has a declining population. How can you see that? Look at the bottom. Move up the bottom cohort, with a small reduction for death. The Singaporeans aren’t replacing themselves. The bulge in the middle are the people that are the most productive for the economy. By looking at those three graphs, you can see that Niger is in trouble, Sweden is doing all right and Singapore is booming at the moment.

The Chinese graph is worse:

In both graphs you see more males than females. That’s deadly for any civilization. Imagine a war kills off 50% of all males in a country. It will take a while, but they can recover. Imagine the same, but now 50% of all females are killed/removed. That country will never recover. Impossible. It’s gone forever. An observant reader will say: in the right graph are far more females than men. Correct, but have a look at their ages. They start catching up from 55 years and older. Not too many women in those age groups are likely to give birth …

The One Child Policy started in 1980, and was abolished in 2015. That means 35 years or seven cohorts (!) were raised as single children. That’s far more than a generation. Not only that, but Chinese prefer boys over girls. If they only can have one child, it better be a boy! That single boy is far more precious than you think, because he eventually has to provide not only for his parents and grandparents but those of his wife as well, if he can find one. China does not have an old age pension, and does not allow its citizens to invest for retirement.

This created three unforeseen effects. Once those single boys grew up, they started to look for prospective wives among the surviving single girls. For girls a dream come true: they could marry a young handsome millionaire! If a prospective groom doesn’t bring at least two houses (pauper!!) and a BMW he doesn’t have to waste his time wooing her. Yes, even in this woman’s paradise there are still leftover women. The grass is never green enough. Some things never change.

The other effect nobody thought about is that children raised as single children have great difficulties socializing and do not want more than one child themselves. If they want children at all, that is. In 2015 when the Chinese government allowed for two children, nobody responded. A bit later they encouraged three children, but that was ridiculed by the people. A poll was quickly taken offline, because the results were not exactly what the government wanted to be. +90% of respondents stated that they don’t want any kids at all. None. In very plain language. Not a word of Chinese in it (in a matter of speaking, of course)!

The third and most important effect is that the emperor cannot send countless soldiers to die in a vain, glorious war. Invading Taiwan will immediately cause widespread revolution. Because the parents and grandparents of those soldiers would have lost the means to subsist in their old age.

What’s the complexity of demographics?

First nothing seems to happen, then it happens all of a sudden. It takes 20 years (four cohorts) to become a productive adult. It takes 45 years (nine cohorts) to reach the age of retirement. Then, all of a sudden … boom! … retirement. One day you are working, the next day you’ll never work again. It’s not a gradual process, it happens from one day on the next.

From 1980 onwards Chinese people became prosperous. Less poor, for the most part. But some people really became wealthy. Here China loves to play the numbers game. “We have more millionaires than The Netherlands has inhabitants!” True enough, but China also has 1.4 billion citizens. If we look at the percentages, China has less than 1% of it citizens as millionaires. In The Netherlands that’s 3%.

The prosperity of China is over. Forever. Demographically, they borrowed from the bank. Now it’s payback time. Raising children is very expensive. From 1980 onwards Chinese didn’t have to spend their money on raising children. They could spend it on whatever they wanted. That’s the reason why Thailand became — until Covid — the most popular foreign tourist destination for the Chinese. Chinese tourists amounted to one-third of all arrivals. That money would otherwise have been spent on raising children.

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Archbishop Viganò: “The New World Order Agenda Requires That Italy Should Perish”

Carlo Maria Viganò is an Italian archbishop who is the former Apostolic Nuncio to the USA. He has deviated from the Vatican party line on multiple issues, most notably on the Wuhan Coronavirus “pandemic” and related matters.

The following video shows excerpts from an interview with Archbishop Viganò in which he discusses the New World Order, the World Economic Forum, and the Great Reset.

Many thanks to HeHa for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the subtitling:

Video transcript:

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Home Before Christmas?

H. Numan provides additional analysis of the Russo-Ukrainian war (see previously: “Mene, Tekel, Perish!”).

Home before Christmas?

by H. Numan

Everybody wants, or at least hopes, that this war will be over soon. I’m not optimistic. The comrades probably won’t be home before Christmas. Large nations don’t admit defeat easily. Their conflicts often expand and turn into a death struggle. It very much looks to me like this is going to be one of those. This war will go on for a very long time.

We’re looking at the Ukrainian conflict from the wrong end: Putin isn’t going anywhere. Least of all back to Moscow with his tail between his legs. He’s going to stay exactly where he is. Unless he is militarily defeated, which is unlikely. After all, he has the world’s biggest arsenal of nuclear weapons at hand. Right now NATO and Putin are playing a game of chicken. The problem is Putin has no eyelids to blink with. He’ll win.

We’re looking at the conflict with a Western mindset: War is bad. Not good for the people. Think about the poor/innocent/harmless children/women/elderly. It ruins business. Bad for the environment, and more of that crap. That’s not the way Russia got as big as it is today. They know war is hell. Give the other as much of it as possible! Depopulate the area. Terrorize the population into submission. Either kill what’s left outright or send them elsewhere in Russia. There’s plenty of space for them. Repopulate the new territory with ‘better’ people. Usually, but not always, that means Russians proper. This policy was practiced under the czars. The only thing the communists did was to expand on terror part. The post-USSR presidents merely continued the policy.
Part of the policy is simply out-waiting the other. Sooner or later they will give in. They all do. For example, Crimea. Was the plebiscite real or not? It doesn’t matter. Given the outcome, of course it was rigged. 96.77% is not realistic. So what happened? Nothing. It’s still Russian.

Putin simply out-waited sanctions. He got what he wanted, and took it from there. Merkel opted for sanctions, but only those that didn’t hurt. Had she shown what she didn’t have (a spine), he would have reacted differently. How different, we don’t know. Because Merkel doesn’t have a spine, and caved in immediately.

Taking a big risks is typically Russian. Usually it pays off. Sometimes it doesn’t. The consequences can be massive, when the gamble fails. Watch these two videos; they show how Russians manage their own people: The voyage of the Kamchatka. He (not she; Russian ships are he) was part of the Second Pacific Squadron. The First Pacific Squadron was wiped out in a Pearl Harbor style attack by the Japanese navy in 1903. The czar send the Baltic fleet, renamed it as the Second Pacific Squadron. Their voyage was at that time the laughing stock of the world. If you think the Russians bungled up in Ukraine, watch the video. It was truly the voyage of the damned. They sailed from the Baltic past Africa (the Suez canal was closed to them, after they opened fire twice on British fishing vessels in the North Sea) across the Indian Ocean to meet their doom in the Straights of Tsushima. Most sailors died.

Another gamble, one that worked out very well, was Stalin’s East European policy. The Allies, at that time Britain, needed him. So he boldly insisted the conditions in the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact should be honored by the Allies as well. Churchill didn’t want it, but eventually he had to. Simply because Stalin refused to negotiate anything else. No matter what or how British and later American negotiators argued. He remained silent or restated his demands, until they caved in. Effectively, the Iron Curtain was created there and then. It was a huge gamble, because Stalin needed the Allies a lot more than the Allies needed him. Had the allies shown a bit more spine… You’ll read that a lot, when dealing with Russian politicians.

Sometimes the West does show its spine. During the Cuban Missile Crisis Kennedy didn’t cave in to the pretty reasonable — they were very good at finding reasonable excuses — demands of Khrushchev. That’s how Russia usually wins, and sometimes not. Even in this defeat, US missiles in Turkey were removed, so Khrushchev still could call it a win. It was a close call, though. We’re about to relive that exiting time all over again. Only this time with a mindless moron in the White House. And a lot more nukes.

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Down to the Wire

Voters in France go to the polls tomorrow to vote in the first round of the presidential election. Below is a brief video showing excerpts from one of Éric Zemmour’s final campaign rallies.

It’s notable that one of the speakers at the rally was Philippe de Villiers, the French author, historian, and former MEP who has been featured in this space on a number of occasions (most recently here, talking about the Great Replacement).

Mr. Zemmour is trailing in the polls, and is unlikely to get past the first round. The good news, however, is that Marine Le Pen is surging, and stands a good chance of beating Emmanuel “Toy Boy” Macron in the runoff, especially if Mr. Zemmour throws his support behind her. This could become an interesting race.

Many thanks to MissPiggy for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the subtitling:

Video transcript:

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Fjordman: A Convergence of Catastrophes

If you appreciate this essay by Fjordman, please consider making a donation to him, using the button at the bottom of this post.

A Convergence of Catastrophes

by Fjordman

Pierre Brochand is a former director of the French Directorate-General for External Security (DGSE), tasked with intelligence gathering and safeguarding France’s national security. He has also been a diplomat, the French ambassador to Hungary, Israel and Portugal, and has served his country in various positions for decades. In an interview with the national newspaper Le Figaro in March of 2022, Brochand sounded an alarm bell over the damage immigration is doing to France and to other European nations.[1] He judges that Europe is currently the only part of the world to deny the importance of ethnic and cultural homogeneity for stability, peace, and prosperity.

France has for more than half a century experienced large-scale immigration from what used to be called the Third World: countries in the Islamic world, Africa, and other parts of the global South. Brochand notes that this recent mass immigration is unprecedented in our history, and observes that it is fracturing France into various competing tribes. While it has become taboo to say so in Western countries today, experience indicates that Multicultural societies of competing ethnic groups are often inherently unstable and tend to break down into violence. Brochand compares France to Lebanon and the former Yugoslavia. These were Multicultural countries with large Muslim populations that collapsed into horrific civil wars.

Pierre Brochand has harsh words for the political leaders in France and the rest of Western Europe. In his view, they have for decades allowed the situation to grow worse and worse due to cowardice. He fears that the country could be heading for some form of collapse unless a complete reversal of public policy is implemented immediately. The politicians must say loud and clear that France will not for the foreseeable future be a country that welcomes large-scale immigration. However, Brochand believes that political leadership in France and Europe still underestimates the seriousness of the situation. Time is running out if we want to avoid a disaster. With his decades of accumulated experience, Pierre Brochand fears a dark future for our children and grandchildren.

In April of 2021, one thousand French soldiers, including more than twenty retired generals, signed a public letter warning that France could face a bloody “civil war” fueled by Islamic separatism.[2] Several other observers have voiced similar worries.[3] Some fear that war has become inevitable.[4] A few, such as the author Michel Onfray, state that a civil war has already begun.[5]

The American writer Ned May quotes the American science fiction author Robert A. Heinlein with what he terms The Year of the Jackpot. This is when several negative happenings converge in time and cause a systemic collapse in society. May wrote an essay about this at his website Gates of Vienna in 2007, and in 2022 this emerging chaos appears to be drawing closer.[6] A toxic mix of negative factors could cause dramatic ripple effects throughout the entire Western world. Right now, we are witnessing a combination of mass immigration, Islamization, terrorism, unparalleled money printing by the central banks, massive public debt, disrupted economies after lockdowns during the coronavirus pandemic, outsourcing of industries and jobs to an increasingly powerful China, war between Russia and the Ukraine, social decay, decadence and cultural decline, dissolution of families, a spike in violent crime, increasing censorship, surveillance and ideological indoctrination, harmful environmental policies plus a steep rise in the prices of energy and food. Every one of these problems is bad by itself. Combined, they could be disastrous.

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What I Understand About Ukraine

Karl-Olov Arnstberg is a Swedish writer, ethnologist, and retired university professor. In the following essay he provides a Swedish perspective on the Russo-Ukrainian war.

Many thanks to LN for translating this post from the blog Invandring och mörkläggning:

What I understand about Ukraine

Sunday Chronicle by Professor Emeritus Karl-Olov Arnstberg
March 13, 2022

The media reports well on what is actually happening in Ukraine, especially on Russian advances, waves of refugees and the suffering Putin is inflicting on completely innocent people. However, I am quickly getting tired of all these crying people on display, including journalists, as well as the lack of analysis. I would also like to see some more sarcastic comments about the Swedish PC elite, like the one I received in an email from a friend.

He writes that logically, Swedish feminists should react to young Ukrainian women fleeing to the safety of the West, instead of staying and defending their country, side by side with the men. If Swedish feminists think that women should have exactly the same opportunities as men, and preferably a few more, surely they should also think that women should have the same obligations, i.e. to share the risk of being maimed and killed? But no.

The same double-entry bookkeeping applies to nationalism. At home, nationalism is a shameful thing, almost the same as Nazism, but now the Swedish PC elite unreservedly praises the Ukrainian men who patriotically fight for their country.

Just as I get tired of seeing crying people on news programmes, I get tired of all these emotional comments calling Putin a monster. He is mad, he is an evil man, right up there with Hitler. Probably he is also demented.

Not that I have anything against Putin and the assault on Ukraine, but as a researcher I was taught early on that if you want to understand social processes you have to try to see the course of events from the perspective of the central actors. In fact, if I do not understand Putin’s actions to the point where I realise that I myself might well act in the same way, if I were in his position, then the analysis is incomplete. The reason why this is so important is, of course, that only then might one have a chance of understanding what will happen next. Just talking about how much you detest Putin, and how disgusting he is, becomes rather meaningless virtue-signaling.

So, like many others, I have searched for information online, and this is what I have understood and what I think all ordinary Swedes trying to understand the war should know. So I am not writing the following in the role of an “expert”. What little I think I know, I should have been told by the Swedish media, but this is not the case.

I’ll start with the Mongols. They conquered most of today’s Russia, including Ukraine. The Swedes were also astonishingly close until things went wrong in Poltava. Napoleon showed that Russia was vulnerable. Hitler attacked and got a long way into the Soviet Union.

On March 3 of this year, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov announced that Napoleon and Hitler had the goal of mastering all of Europe, and now the US is trying. The Russian foreign minister has even said that the US is a new invader of Europe, following in the footsteps of Napoleon and Hitler. The Russians carry the past into the present; they do not hijack history, as modern Westerners do. When Putin talks today about having a buffer zone between himself and NATO, it is a direct continuation of the Warsaw Pact, which was created by the Soviet Union in the 1950s precisely to provide such a buffer between the enemy and themselves. According to Putin, the Russians did not lose the Cold War, because it never ended. He has also said that the fall of the Soviet Union was the geopolitical tragedy of the century. It should be remembered that he was a member of both the Communist Party and the KGB.

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Trying to Get Home to Ukraine

Refugees are pouring out of Ukraine, but a few people are going in the opposite direction. The following article tells the story of a group of Ukrainians who were on holiday in Egypt when Russia invaded. Flights to Ukraine were cancelled, and they are making their way home by other means. Some were housed briefly in austere German asylum accommodations alongside Syrian culture-enrichers.

Many thanks to Hellequin GB for translating this article from the German-language service of the Epoch Times:

Back to the war zone: Refugee reports “horror” in German asylum home

While millions of people are fleeing the war in Ukraine, others are traveling in the opposite direction: either to fight there or to look for relatives in need.

They are tanned and have their holiday suitcases with them. Now Andrej (42) and Viktoria (40) want to go home with their families. Back to a home where nothing is the same as it was when she left for the sun.

The eight vacationers to Egypt come from the city of Krywyj Rih in central Ukraine. Now they are at the Medyka-Schehyni crossing on Poland’s border with Ukraine. “We flew to Sharm El Sheikh on February 24th. We only found out in Egypt about the outbreak of war,” says construction worker Andrej. Because there were no more flights to Ukraine, the Egyptians initially kept the group there and finally put them on a plane to Stettin. Wouldn’t it be safer to stay in Poland? Andrei shakes his head. Three men from the group were of military age. “We want to fight.” And Viktoria adds: “Then we women carry the ammunition.”

Around 186,000 returnees

Millions of Ukrainians have fled since Russia began attacking their country. Almost 1.8 million refugees arrived in Poland alone during this period. But the Polish border guard counted around 186,000 people who crossed the border towards Ukraine by Monday. 83 percent of them are Ukrainians. Among the citizens of other countries there are many people who transport aid supplies across the border.

“Some women bring their children to safety in Poland and then go back to Ukraine to fight,” says Edyta Dabowska. The 30-year-old mathematician helps people at the Medyka border crossing as a volunteer on the Polish side. “Many Ukrainian women worked in Poland, they left children or elderly parents at home whom they now want to help.”

Other returnees are desperate and shocked about the conditions that await them as refugees in the West. Like Alexandra from Kharkiv. Together with her parents, her four-year-old daughter and her friend Valeria, the 28-year-old made it to Nuremberg. “But then they put us in a prison,” she says. The reception center in Germany seemed like a prison cell to her. She scrolls through photos on her phone. “Containers, bunk beds, dirty mattresses and leaking Dixie toilets — and lattice fences all around. Next to it is a dormitory full of Syrian men. It was horrific.”

“At least your own house, your own street”

The German authorities soon promised her better accommodation, says Alexandra. But the young woman had had enough. She left her parents in Germany and is now on her way back to Kharkiv with her girlfriend and daughter. “You sit there, you hear the impact, it’s not nice,” she said. “But at least it’s your own house, your own street.”

Oleg Kowal also wants to go back. The 27-year-old from Kropywnyzkyj in the central Ukrainian region of Kirowohrad worked as a construction worker in Poland for six months. Now he’s standing at the border crossing with a large bottle of Fanta and a bag with a camouflage look. “Our people are being attacked, I can’t sit there like that.” He served in the Ukrainian army for five years. Now he wants to fight, too.

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Those Who Express Forbidden Opinions Are Terrorists

Last week I posted a video report from Donetsk by Alina Lipp, an independent Russian-German journalist. Since then her pro-Donbas sentiments have caused her to be added to an official Ukrainian list of terrorists.

Many thanks to MissPiggy for translating this new report by Ms. Lipp, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the subtitling:

Video transcript:

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But Why?

Over the last two weeks our Polish correspondent Green Infidel has been posting thoughtful and reasonable comments about the Russo-Ukrainian war. I agree with much of what he says, but he made one comment last night that I must take exception to:

No-one “manoeuvred” Russia into doing it. The whole world was hoping it wouldn’t happen… The decision was only Vladimir Putin’s.

The last part is exactly correct: Russian President Vladimir Putin made the decision to invade Ukraine, and is responsible for the consequences. He was the aggressor: he ordered unilateral military action against a sovereign state.

However, it’s not true that “[t]he whole world was hoping it wouldn’t happen”. There is overwhelming evidence that what I call the Powers That Be were determined that there would be a war between Russia and Ukraine. From the leaked phone call by Victoria Nuland in 2014 through the machinations of Lindsey Graham to the current conniving of Secretary of State Antony Blinken, it is quite clear that the American subset of the Powers That Be was pushing to foment trouble with Russia over Ukraine.

Back in the 1990s the United States promised Russia, in writing, that NATO would not be expanded eastwards. That promise was never honored, and when the machinations concerning Ukraine began, Vladimir Putin made it clear that he would never accept Ukraine’s joining NATO, and would use any means necessary to make sure it never happened. He considered Ukrainian membership a threat to Russia’s security. You can agree or disagree with that assertion, but that was Russia’s position, and the Russian president stated it quite clearly.

Fast-forward to 2021. The United States continued to talk about NATO membership for Ukraine. In December “Joe Biden assured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy that Kyiv’s bid to join the NATO military alliance was in its own hands.”

I don’t think Mr. Biden had any idea of the ramifications of what he told Mr. Zelensky. But his handlers did. The people who told President Biden what to say knew exactly what they were doing, and what the consequences would be. They wanted a war between Russia and Ukraine, and ultimately a war between Russia and NATO.

However, it’s not at all clear that the European branch of the Powers That Be was at all keen on a war with Russia. It’s possible that the UK might go along with the idea, but the Continent is a different matter. And the further east you go in the Continent, the less keen they are about poking the Russian bear with a big stick.

During a visit to Moldova few days ago, Secretary of State Antony Blinken offered up Poland as a conduit for NATO fighter planes to Ukraine. This reckless decision was taken unilaterally, without consulting either the Polish government or the Pentagon. Poland handled the matter adroitly, offering to deliver its MiGs to the US military, which could then hand them over to Ukraine if it so desired. But the Pentagon declined to do so, correctly pointing out that this was tantamount to an act of war against Russia. Evidently the military brass are not quite as foolhardy as the stripy-pants set at State (and by extension, the CIA).

Unfortunately, the media have been beating the drums of war for so long that there is now substantial public support for doing whatever is necessary to “save Ukraine”, whether it means a no-fly zone over the country or American boots on the ground. Sober, well-informed discussion has been set aside — as our good friend Commander Salamander says, “The Blob wants a war.”

But why?

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