Over the last two weeks our Polish correspondent Green Infidel has been posting thoughtful and reasonable comments about the Russo-Ukrainian war. I agree with much of what he says, but he made one comment last night that I must take exception to:
No-one “manoeuvred” Russia into doing it. The whole world was hoping it wouldn’t happen… The decision was only Vladimir Putin’s.
The last part is exactly correct: Russian President Vladimir Putin made the decision to invade Ukraine, and is responsible for the consequences. He was the aggressor: he ordered unilateral military action against a sovereign state.
However, it’s not true that “[t]he whole world was hoping it wouldn’t happen”. There is overwhelming evidence that what I call the Powers That Be were determined that there would be a war between Russia and Ukraine. From the leaked phone call by Victoria Nuland in 2014 through the machinations of Lindsey Graham to the current conniving of Secretary of State Antony Blinken, it is quite clear that the American subset of the Powers That Be was pushing to foment trouble with Russia over Ukraine.
Back in the 1990s the United States promised Russia, in writing, that NATO would not be expanded eastwards. That promise was never honored, and when the machinations concerning Ukraine began, Vladimir Putin made it clear that he would never accept Ukraine’s joining NATO, and would use any means necessary to make sure it never happened. He considered Ukrainian membership a threat to Russia’s security. You can agree or disagree with that assertion, but that was Russia’s position, and the Russian president stated it quite clearly.
Fast-forward to 2021. The United States continued to talk about NATO membership for Ukraine. In December “Joe Biden assured Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy that Kyiv’s bid to join the NATO military alliance was in its own hands.”
I don’t think Mr. Biden had any idea of the ramifications of what he told Mr. Zelensky. But his handlers did. The people who told President Biden what to say knew exactly what they were doing, and what the consequences would be. They wanted a war between Russia and Ukraine, and ultimately a war between Russia and NATO.
However, it’s not at all clear that the European branch of the Powers That Be was at all keen on a war with Russia. It’s possible that the UK might go along with the idea, but the Continent is a different matter. And the further east you go in the Continent, the less keen they are about poking the Russian bear with a big stick.
During a visit to Moldova few days ago, Secretary of State Antony Blinken offered up Poland as a conduit for NATO fighter planes to Ukraine. This reckless decision was taken unilaterally, without consulting either the Polish government or the Pentagon. Poland handled the matter adroitly, offering to deliver its MiGs to the US military, which could then hand them over to Ukraine if it so desired. But the Pentagon declined to do so, correctly pointing out that this was tantamount to an act of war against Russia. Evidently the military brass are not quite as foolhardy as the stripy-pants set at State (and by extension, the CIA).
Unfortunately, the media have been beating the drums of war for so long that there is now substantial public support for doing whatever is necessary to “save Ukraine”, whether it means a no-fly zone over the country or American boots on the ground. Sober, well-informed discussion has been set aside — as our good friend Commander Salamander says, “The Blob wants a war.”