Before the Deluge

Actually, the deluge is already here, even though the center of the tropical depression formerly known as Hurricane Debby is still well south of the North Carolina border. The rain has been heavy for a while, and there is some wind, but not a whole lot of it.

Nevertheless, Central Virginia is currently under a Tornado Watch:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 615 UNTIL 7 AM EDT FRIDAY WHICH REPLACES A PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH 614. THE NEW WATCH IS VALID FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN VIRGINIA THE NEW WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES…

The internet went out for a few hours, then came back on a little while ago. So be advised that I may disappear without warning. Knowing the phone company, if enough water comes down, the outage may last for several days.

All day the rain has glided, wave and mist and dream,
Drenching the gorse and heather, a gossamer stream
Too light to stir the acorns that suddenly
Snatched from their cups by the wild south-westerly
Pattered against the tent and our upturned dreaming faces.
And we stretched out, unbuttoning our braces,
Smoking a Woodbine, darning dirty socks,
Reading the Sunday papers — I saw a fox
And mentioned it in the note I scribbled home;
And we talked of girls and dropping bombs on Rome,
And thought of the quiet dead and the loud celebrities
Exhorting us to slaughter, and the herded refugees;
As of ourselves or those whom we
For years have loved, and will again
Tomorrow maybe love; but now it is the rain
Possesses us entirely, the twilight and the rain.

— From “All Day It Has Rained” by Alun Lewis (1941)

Alun Lewis was killed fighting in Burma in 1944.

The Gathering Storm

The weather here at Schloss Bodissey has been stifling: extremely hot and humid. And now another line of thunderstorms is headed this way. I can’t hear the thunder yet, but the lights have begun to flicker occasionally, so trouble can’t be too far away.

Once again: if this site becomes mysteriously inactive, you’ll know why. If the phone company maintains its usual standards, the internet may go out for a couple of days — it’s hard to predict.

Or everything may be fine. You never can tell.

Here It Comes Again

A line of strong thunderstorms is approaching and will soon be over Schloss Bodissey. The rain has started, and the thunderclaps are getting louder and louder.

It shouldn’t be enough to take out my internet connection, but with the Thoroughly Modern Phone Company you never can tell.

This is just FYI. If all activity ceases here later this evening, you’ll know why.

Downtime

I went into town yesterday afternoon to do some grocery shopping, and while I was gone a line of thunderstorms came through the area. I assume they were part of the trailing edge of Hurricane Beryl, which had so much fun in the Caribbean earlier this month and is now disappearing into Ontario as a diffuse low-pressure system.

I got home to Schloss Bodissey just as the storm broke, and was barely able to get the groceries into the house before the rain started bucketing down. The storm was dramatic, with plenty of thunder and lightning, but no significant wind — just a welcome two inches of rain. The electricity never went out. I checked the phone when I came in, and it was still on.

However, after I put the groceries away, when I sat down at the computer to resume work, I discovered that the internet was out. All that lightning and thunder must have scared away the demons that run the local server.

It is often the case that the internet comes back on overnight without my needing to take action. Since making a tech support call to the phone company is a pain in the [nether orifice], I decided to wait until morning, and went to bed.

When I got up this morning, the light on the modem was still red. I fortified myself with breakfast and coffee and began the ordeal of calling tech support. It’s a grueling process — you have to go through a seemingly endless series of robot menus, some of which take touch-tone inputs, while others require voice. After responding to all the standard questions about power-cycling the modem and so on, I was finally transferred to a human being. In this case I was very fortunate to be referred to Pedro rather than Jamsheed — the Latino support people are much easier to understand than the guys with thick Bangladesh accents.

After talking to the tech I had to endure waiting on hold repeatedly while being forced to listen to horrible music. That took about forty-five excruciating minutes. Finally he told me that the soonest he could send a technician out would be tomorrow between 8am and 5pm.

Which is ridiculous, because all they have to do is send a guy out to reboot the rain-soaked server. But there’s nothing a mere customer can do. They don’t care. They don’t have to care. They’re the phone company.

And then, mirabile dictu, the internet mysteriously returned about two hours after I got off the phone. You never can tell.

I’m way behind in everything, obviously. I’ll read all the email and put up a bunch of posts, and there will be a news feed before midnight.

Unless another storm comes through.

Donner und Blitzen

It was beastly hot earlier in the day, but now the sky has grown ominously dark. There are faint rumbles of thunder, and rain is falling steadily, although not all that hard. Based on the radar map, there are at least two waves of storms coming through.

Knowing the phone company the way I do, I have my doubts that the internet will remain on the whole time — after all, there’s a service interruption whenever a bluebird perches on the server box, or a cow scratches her back against it, so a real slam-bang storm is bound to knock it out.

It’s also possible that the electricity will go off, but the electric co-op is more reliable than the phone company. So we’ll see.

Anyway, if the site goes dead and comments stop getting approved, you’ll know why.

The rain is welcome — we’ve been in a severe drought for a month — but I could do without all the boom and bang.

Help Me, Information

The phone company giveth, and the phone company taketh away.

Yesterday the phone company decided to take away both voice and internet for 24 hours. No particular reason. The weather was fair and warm. No ice, snow, or sleet. No wind, rain, thunder or lightning. Everything was boring, so, just to pass the time, the phone demons decided to take down my service.

Maybe it was a delayed reaction to last week’s solar flare. Maybe a squirrel got into the junction box and gnawed through the wires.

Anyway, I’ve got a day’s worth of catching up to do. A ton of email to read, including a lot of tips for last night’s news feed. It will take me a while to go through everything. However, during the downtime I prepared a couple of posts, so they will be up fairly soon.

The Iceman Cometh

The National Weather Service forecast for Saturday here at Schloss Bodissey includes a “winter weather advisory”: we are to expect “mixed precipitation”, with “snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one-tenth to two-tenths of an inch.”

Furthermore, “Precipitation is expected to begin as a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain between 4 and 7 AM, then change to mostly freezing rain between 7 AM and 10 AM. Precipitation may mix with or change to rain by late afternoon, before ending during the early evening.”

It doesn’t sound serious enough to cause a power outage, but you never can tell. So if Saturday evening comes along and this is still the top post, and comments aren’t being approved, you’ll know why. Just assume that I am sitting here drinking wine (an Alvarez de Toledo Mencia, probably) by candlelight, keeping the temperature in the house above freezing by using the propane range in the kitchen…


Dymphna’s stove

Update 1:00pm EST: There was a little freezing rain, nothing significant, before I got up this morning. Since then it’s pretty much just been rain. It’s raining hard now, but not much ice on the trees. So it looks like the electricity may stay on, at least for the time being.

It’s the Religion, Stupid

Many thanks to Hellequin GB for translating this German-language post from Twitter:

Thought experiment shows: Climate narrative has long since become an ideology

Let’s assume for a moment that science finds out that temperatures on earth are falling, that CO2 is not the main driver of the climate, or that climate change has a positive impact on crop yields and prosperity will impact worldwide. In other words, the climate panic would be canceled for one of the reasons listed.

What would sound like good news would have massive consequences for the course chosen. The agreements between states to reduce emissions would be invalid, and the restructuring of industry and energy supply that has taken place so far would be meaningless in the new context. Capital flows amounting to thousands of billions of dollars would suddenly be called into question. Party programs would have to be rewritten.

In the thought experiment we can now test how realistic it is to assume that these new scientific findings would actually become widespread. Would the truth be stronger than all party-political, industrial and ideological interests? No, of course not. This assumption would be naïve. No one in power would simply agree to change the climate narrative and put their own interests aside. There is far too much at stake for that.

If this is not the case today, what year was the “point of no return”? When did the climate course become set in stone? The course was set at the latest with the Paris climate agreement in 2015. Presumably already with the establishment of the IPCC in 1988, which had the task of proving man-made climate change.

When viewed from a meta-level, the matter is clear: the climate narrative is an ideology. Science is no longer open-ended. Since probably 1988, at least since 2015. Everything else is wishful thinking. The harsh treatment of critics, the censorship we experience, the massive propaganda in the media underline this result of the thought experiment.

Afterword from the translator:

Continue reading

The Light Has Come Into the World

Merry Christmas, everybody!

The weather at the moment doesn’t look anything like the photo at the top, which was taken here at Schloss Bodissey in February of 2006. It just seemed seasonally appropriate. Right now it’s actually quite mild, and semi-overcast. There’s been almost no snow so far this season.

The future Baron is here. We’ll be having a nice Christmas dinner in a little while, so posting will be light. I hope you all have a joyous Christmas.

Here We Go Again

If you live on the East Coast, you’ve probably heard about Tropical Storm Ophelia, which came up through the Carolinas and is now in the process of looping through Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, and New Jersey.

The real action is pretty far away from Schloss Bodissey, but still, we’re getting a lot of rain, and some gusty winds, so anything is possible. If the lights go dark at Gates of Vienna tonight, that’s almost certainly the reason.

I went out late this afternoon and didn’t see any trees or big branches down, so I’m not really worried. On the other hand, the phone company’s antiquated equipment may decide that this is a good time to crap out. It wouldn’t be the first time.

Comms Failure

Long-time readers are aware of my persistent issues with phone and internet connectivity. The phone system out here in the Far Boondocks is roughly equivalent to two tin cans connected by a piece of string. It doesn’t take much stress on that string to zap my internet connection.

Last Friday, right after I finished moderating the comments that had come in overnight, my phone and Internet went out. Clear blue sky, no wind, beautiful day — and the phone went out, just like that.

I’ve learned from experience that when the phone goes out on a Friday, I can expect it to stay off all weekend. The phone company doesn’t send technicians out here to fix outages in their off hours. Repairs are scheduled for normal work hours, Monday through Friday. So if the phone goes out on Tuesday, it might be fixed on Wednesday, if I’m lucky. But if it goes out on Friday, I can forget about any repairs over the weekend.

As it happened, Saturday was the day of the memorial service for my very good friend who died last month (see “Thanatopsis”, August 6). The future Baron came down for the weekend so that he could attend it. Before he left yesterday, I had him come with me while I drove us to where there was a cell phone signal, about eight miles from here, and used his phone to call tech support in Bangladesh. After going through interminable touch-tone menus, and listening to horrible music while on hold, I finally got to talk to a personable young lady with a thick Bengali accent. She apologized profusely for the difficulties I was having, then made me listen to the horrible music for a while longer while she looked into the situation. When she returned, she told me that there was an outage in my area, and there was no estimated time for the repairs to be completed.

I knew ahead of time that she would say that, because that’s the way it always goes. But it’s important to go through the forms, just for propriety’s sake, and set up a trouble ticket.

I also knew that the phone would come back on today, because it always happens that way. The technician comes to work on Monday morning and looks at his trouble tickets while he drinks a cup of coffee. Then he gets in his panel truck and comes out here to Eerie Hollow to reconnect the string to the tin can.

It had been more than a month since the previous outage, which was a pretty long run. Let’s see how long it takes before the next one.

Generally speaking, if you see me disappear for a weekend without any advance warning, you can assume there’s been an outage like this one.

Weather Goes Boom!

Update: The storm seems to have passed through. It was loud, but not all that violent. There was no hail, at least not here at Schloss Bodissey.

Central Virginia is currently under a severe thunderstorm warning, and I can already hear the thunder and see the lightning. The storm is rapidly approaching, and we may be in for hail and high winds.

If Gates of Vienna stops being updated after this post, you’ll know why.