More than six months ago The Netherlands held a general election. At last, a cabinet has been formed — but except for the prime minister, none of its members have been announced.
Our Dutch correspondent H. Numan has the story.
Habemus Moderamen
by H. Numan
It took a while, but we’ve got a cabinet. Finally. And what a cabinet that’s going to be! The nickname (one of many) is ‘Until Christmas I’. Nobody thinks this cabinet will last the full ride. Not even the parties who form it. And we still don’t know who is going to be in it, apart from Mark Rutte. All we know is that taxes go up, up, up. And that we will get no fewer than 25 ministers. That alone is a sure sign the cabinet won’t last long. We don’t know who will become ministers, only Mark Rutte. We don’t even know when they will start working. That’s another sign we’re looking at temporary cabinet.
Let me recapitulate for you: we went to the polls on the 15th of March. The PVV party did fairly well, but not well enough. They came second with 20 seats. The ‘winner’ was the VVD (conservatives) with 33 seats. I say ‘winner’ as they didn’t win at all. They lost 25%, down from 41 seats. But they remained the biggest party and therefore called the shots. For Americans, coalition governments are incomprehensible, so allow me to explain how it works.
In Holland and many other countries a coalition is the only form of governance possible. We have too many parties to begin with and our system does not allow for one party which takes all. It’s not illegal, but extremely unlikely to happen. In America you essentially have two parties. Either one governs, or the other. There isn’t any other option.
Now, imagine Donald Trump was rejected by his own party and set up a new one. He is wealthy enough to do just that. More importantly, he has ample funds for a well-run campaign. This is usually the problem for third parties in America: they may have good ideas, even good people, but lack the funds for promotion. The elections are there. Trump doesn’t win outright, but enough to block any government without his party. To make it easy: all get 1/3 of the vote. That’s when you get a coalition. None can govern alone. None likes the others. But the country has to be governed, so a deal must be struck. Let the haggling begin!
Mark Rutte tried first to form a left-wing coalition by inviting GL (former communists) to negotiate. Yasser Feras (Jesse Klaver) made an absolute fool of himself by demanding the Moon, Mars, Jupiter and a lot more. When a deal was nearly complete, he reneged on it by demanding even more.
The only other option was to invite the CU party. The CU, Christian Union, is an extreme left-wing but staunchly Calvinist party. That sounds somewhat weird, I know. But we’re Dutch, so that’s perfectly normal to us. You can see it as group of very strict Calvinists (Sunday laws, no abortion; that sort of thing) but they take their charity and compassion not out of the Bible but from Marx. Think: your Bible Belt, with Bernie Sanders in the pulpit.
Finally, after months and months of haggling, we got a deal that satisfies no one. It’s next to impossible to name this monstrosity: a conservative (VVD) progressive (CU/D66) Christian (CDA/CU) cabinet. Laugh if you will, but we have to live with it.
The cabinet isn’t there yet, but we already know that the low rate VAT goes up from 6 to 9% and the mortgage tax deduction is going down the drain fast. The cabinet claims everyone will cash in. Realistically, very few people will. Rutte said he will compensate lower incomes but if you believe that, I have a religion of peace on offer for you. Pork is not included.
In Holland we have two VAT rates: 6% (from 2018 onwards that will be 9%) on essential goods, the stuff people need to stay alive. And 21% on luxury goods, that’s everything else. Due to the economic crisis of 2008, the VAT on luxury goods went up ‘temporarily’ from 19% to 21%. To remind you, as a lad I remember when VAT (we call it BTW) was introduced. Back then in 1969 luxury goods were taxed 12%. Now it’s nearly double. The new cabinet is of course not going to lower that ‘temporary’ higher rate, if only because the tax department doesn’t know the word temporary exists.
As you can expect from a left wing cabinet, development aid goes up to two billion. And defense — what’s left of it; that’s not much —probably down. I’ll keep you informed about more good news coming from below the dikes, when it comes in.
Now, I said nobody likes this cabinet, and everybody is dead certain this cabinet won’t last long. Even the parties who form this cabinet think so, because Pechtold (D66), Seegers (CU) and Buma (CDA) all remain in parliament. They declined cabinet seats. For the best of reasons of course, but the main reason is that they don’t want to go down with this shipwreck. Mark Rutte (VVD, conservatives) doesn’t have that option. He wanted this cabinet, and has to live with it.
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