As reported in the news feed last night, Sebastian “Boy” Kurz and the ÖVP came in first in yesterday’s general election in Austria. The results have shifted slightly since then, with the FPÖ dropping into third place, less than a percentage point behind the Social Democrats.
What makes this election interesting is near-parity of the three major parties. Any two of them could form a governing coalition; the other parties are negligible. This means that there will be intense haggling behind the scenes as the parties jostle with each other in a bid to form a government.
The players in this Troika are:
- ÖVP (Österreichische Volkspartei, Austrian People’s Party)
- SPÖ (Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs, Social Democratic Party of Austria)
- FPÖ (Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs, Austrian Freedom Party)
Analysis of Recent Austrian Election Results
by Elisabeth Sabaditsch-Wolff
The elections are over, but the real battle has begun. This is a short analysis of what happened because there is much more than meets the eye.
It is by far not certain that Kurz will be chancellor. I would, however, bet that the FPÖ will be part of the next government. Moreover, FPÖ will hopefully remain third. Why? Because they will be in the best position in coalition talks; they have more options.
Kurz is not in a very favorable position: his options are limited to a coalition government with FPÖ. If FPÖ gets a better deal from the socialists, then Kurz is history. We must also remember there is a lot of distrust between FPÖ and ÖVP. A lot. Do not assume that Kurz is chancellor already. He won, but not by as much as he had hoped for; and, in any case, we won’t know the final tally until Thursday.
Also, there’s trouble with trusting someone as young as Kurz in this. There is bound to be some kind of international pressure behind the scenes.
Kurz is a member of the European Council on Foreign Relations — just Google the members; it’s a Soros outfit! He refuses to discuss this membership.
What’s more, all of the ÖVP MEPs recently voted in favor of an abortion law passed in EU parliament. Some “conservative” party!
Also, Sebastian Kurz is not a good option for free speech proponents: he wants to tighten free speech laws; it’s written into the party platform.
Another reason is the failed Law on Islam. He knew the law was crap, but went ahead anyway. The law was passed, and now it’s officially been termed a disaster.
It is unlikely however, that Kurz will opt for an ÖVP-SPÖ coalition since he ran on a “change” ticket. The current coalition government was voted out of office very clearly and strongly. This means that Kurz’ options are two-fold: either he marries FPÖ at a very high price, or he goes into opposition. That would be the end of Kurz.
I’m not sure about the Greens yet; we won’t know for certain until Thursday, but they’re gone in any case.
Also, if you count the NEOS (Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum, New Austria and Liberal Forum), as conservative (which I personally disagree with), then you have Austria leaning 60% to the right. They are somewhat conservative on the economic and business side, but very liberal socially, staunchly pro-EU. They are calling for a United States of Europe. They are not our friends.