I exchanged several emails today with our Croatian correspondent Vortac about the “refugee” crisis as it is currently being felt in the Balkans. Before we get to Vortac’s comments, however, let’s do a brief review of the major migration routes now being used by “refugees” to get to Central and Western Europe.
The bulk of the migrants pass from Turkey into Greece, either by the land route through Thrace, or more often by sea from Anatolia to the Aegean islands. The island arrivals are ferried to Athens by the Greek government.
The “refugees” then proceed northwards through Greece, and thence into Macedonia and Serbia. Until Hungary closed its border with Serbia, the preferred route to Austria passed through Hungary. For a brief period after the border closure, the migrants made a little side-trip through Croatia to get to Hungary. In response, Hungary closed its border with Croatia. Very little of the migration flow passes through Hungary now.
The new alternate route proceeds northwestwards through Croatia and Slovenia into Austria, and from there into Bavaria and points north.
The following map shows the current migration routes through Croatia and Slovenia to Austria. I could only find a German version of it, but it should be fairly clear. Ungarn is Hungary and Österreich is Austria. The dark blue lines show the migration routes. The light blue line is the outer border of the Schengen Area. The broken red lines show border controls at internal Schengen borders. The solid red line marks the closed border between Hungary and Croatia. The black line represents a border fence when solid, and when dotted, a planned border fence.
As you can see, a feeder line from Bosnia joins the main flow. Presumably many of those “refugees” are Bosniaks, i.e. Muslims.
Notice also that the route forks in Croatia before entering Slovenia. We’ve previously covered the eastern route and its deleterious effects in Austria — the latest videos from Spielfeld are horrific. But I haven’t yet seen any footage or photos from Klagenfurt on the western route, so I don’t know how bad it is there.
Here’s Vortac’s email about conditions in Croatia:
The consequences of multicultural insanity have finally reached Croatia. Luckily, I live in the western part of the country, which hasn’t been affected by the refugees so far, but I am aware it’s only a question of time now.
Croatians were under the Ottoman yoke for centuries, and people are generally very cautious (to put it mildly) about Islam in any shape or form, but there are big differences in opinions how to deal with the crisis at hand, from advocating firmly closed borders at one end all the way to “we should welcome refugees heartily and offer them jobs” on the other end. Our government has taken a position somewhere in the middle, opening the borders and allowing all the refugees to pass freely, shipping them as fast as possible through the country (previously to Hungary and now to Slovenia), but it’s obvious this strategy will buy us maybe a couple more months, and then we will face progressively increasing problems soon afterwards.
What’s even more depressing than this invasion is the sorry demise of the EU political system, with local politicians and bureaucrats bickering about how many refugees can be shipped through, and even threatening each other with “sanctions” according to the Schengen Agreement, as if that agreement has not been a dead piece of paper for many months now.
A few weeks ago, the Croatian government even closed official border crossings with Serbia, causing huge delays in legal, international traffic. It was a desperate attempt to force Serbian government to re-route refugees to Hungary and not to Croatia. So we had a situation where legal crossings were impossible, with a huge column of trucks stalled at the border, but only 100 meters away refugees were crossing the same border on foot, illegally, without any documents. That insane policy was rescinded after a few days, and official border crossings were opened again, but it’s a good example of the Orwellian levels of absurdity we are reaching here now. The EU Politburo is abandoning its peripheral members, and local politicians — used to getting directives from Brussels — are now left on their own to deal with the situation.
Again, I must say how useful a source of information GoV is in a crisis like this. Even now, when Croatia is experiencing the full brunt of multicultural disaster, the mainstream media are still serving up the usual PC/MC propaganda. In fact, it’s not even propaganda now, it’s becoming more and more obvious that the journalists themselves do not believe in what they are writing anymore, but it’s like they are stuck in a loop and cannot force their brains to write anything different now.
When I wrote him back, I said this:
If the “refugees” were able to get what they want, you wouldn’t end up with many in Croatia, because almost all of them want to go to Germany (or maybe Sweden). They could just pass through and you’d be done with them.
But now that Austria is tightening its border with Slovenia, the migrants will be backing up in Slovenia. And yesterday Germany decided to send police to Slovenia to help with the border there, so you can expect the migrants to start backing up in Croatia! Your government will eventually have to seal the border with Serbia, and then it will be Serbia’s problem.
And his reply:
Yes, Croatia can close its border with Serbia relatively easily, because approximately one half of it is the River Danube (which is of course quite difficult to cross illegally) and the other half is perhaps 150 kilometers of flat terrain where it would be easy to put up fences and wire. But refugees could then try to enter Croatia via Bosnia and Herzegovina, and our border with Bosnia and Herzegovina is 1,000 kilometers long, lots of dense forests, lots of mountainous and hilly terrain.
It’s almost impossible to seal that border completely. It would be a nightmare of colossal proportions, especially in wintertime.
The dénouement of the current mess has not yet begun. When will we see the first signs of it? The freezing weather will be coming soon…