Germany, like other Western European countries, has seen a rise in its birthrate in recent years, largely due to increasing numbers of Third World immigrants, who tend to have higher fertility rates. In other words, new Germans are generally produced by “New Germans”, most of them Muslims.
However, eastern Germany — the former DDR — is the exception. In the East the increase in the birthrate is being driven by ethnic German women, whose fertility rate has risen significantly since Communist times.
Many thanks to JLH for translating this article from Die Welt:
Why More Children Are Born in the East
by Ulli Kulke
October 18, 2016
Foreign women are raising the average German birthrate. At the same time, Saxony, where there are few foreigners, is the most fruitful state in Germany. How this contradiction can be explained.
The announcement — including in Die Welt — about the recent rise in Germany’s birthrate is a little surprising. On the one hand, announced the Federal Bureau of Statistics, this rise in 2015 was traceable overwhelmingly to newborns of women of foreign origin. On the other hand, the pinnacle was achieved in Saxony, while the birthrate in Berlin has changed almost not at all.
At first glance, this is amazing.
Don’t we hear daily in the present social debate that a very small number of foreigners live in the eastern German states, in contrast to Berlin and also the western German states? So how can the higher birthrate of foreigners be most noticeable in Saxony (as also in Thuringia and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania)?
“This is not the contradiction it seems to be,” says Olga Pötsch of the Federal Bureau of Statistics. “The birthrate in eastern German states overtook the western German level in 2007, and has since then increased disproportionately.” So the number of births there has already reached a comparatively high level. The increase in absolute numbers from 2014 to 2015 was greater, even though fewer foreigners lived there.
It is also true that the comparatively few foreigners in Saxony and Thuringia also contributed disproportionately, but the many natives also participated in the growth of the birthrate. In 2014 they were even able to achieve a higher birthrate than the immigrants.
Women From the Balkans, Especially, Raising the Birthrate
The widespread opinion that after the fall of the Wall the steep drop in the birthrate in the eastern German states began an irreversible trend is wrong. The dramatic decline in births per woman from 1.5 to 1.0 in 1990 — the last year of the German Democratic Republic — continued to .8 in 1993, before it headed steeply up. In contrast to these dramatic vacillations in the east, where in 1979 — still deep in the GDR era — the mark of 2.0 was nearly passed, was an unsteadily wavering curve of 1.3 to 1.4 in the west.
The development in 2015 sobered the pollsters a bit, according to Olga Pötsch, following the euphorically greeted data of 2014, when the birthrate in the east and the west jumped from1.42 to 1.47. And this growth was largely attributable to German women and less to foreigners.
In contrast, the rise was halved in 2015 and the curve rose to just 1.5. In the past year, according to the Federal Bureau of Statistics, women from the Balkans especially have contributed to the increase in births. These are presumably asylum seekers or acknowledged refugees, about which the data from Wiesbaden offers no exact information.
According to the Federal Bureau of Statistics, more babies are being brought into the world in Germany. After decades of decline, the trend in the birthrate now seems to be changing.
Births in Germany by national origin of mother