Election-Hacking in Brazil

The recent presidential election in Brazil bears a strong resemblance to the one held here in the USA in 2020. Supporters of Lula da Silva, like those of Joe Biden, were not all that visible before the election. Then, late on election night, they suddenly appeared, as tallied by the voting machines. Graphs of the count show those same strange vertical jumps in the middle of the night, miraculously pushing Lula’s total past that of Jair Bolsonaro.

A lot of reports appeared today in the fever swamps about a supposed move by the Brazilian military to support Mr. Bolsonaro under Article 142 of the Constitution. Don’t bother trying to find them on Google — search results are being suppressed there — but instead try searching for “Brazil Bolsonaro Article 142 military” on DuckDuckGo. I turned up a lot of them that way. Except for a few tweets, they all seemed to be based on a single Revolver article about what somebody said in Steve Bannon’s War Room. So it may all just be wishful thinking; it’s still too soon to tell.

Below is a report from Argentinean television about voting machine fraud in the Brazilian election. An analyst on the program asserts that a statistical analysis has definitively shown that the result was fraudulent.

Many thanks to HeHa for the translation, and to Vlad Tepes and RAIR Foundation for the subtitling:

Video transcript:

00:03   Exactly two weeks have passed since the runoff presidential election was held,
00:09   in which Lula Da Silva came first, according to official data.
00:13   Three out of four supporters of Brazil’s President Bolsonaro
00:17   can hardly trust the electronic voting system.
00:21   Many of them are preoccupied with the likelihood of a fraud
00:25   and have made it clear they will take to the street to protest.
00:30   Which we have seen in other previous circumstances.
00:33   Were the presidential elections really fair?
00:38   Or are Bolsonaro’s supporters right to be suspicious?
00:42   Luis, the floor. Thank you, Lucia. Well, this is the hot topic
00:45   that many Brazilians are preoccupied with lately.
00:48   This afternoon, at 3 PM local time, a great demonstration has been called in Brasilia.
00:52   We will cover that later. But we want to know the details of the alleged irregularities.
00:57   As you already know, the army’s report, which we have disclosed,
01:01   has already mentioned some flaws in the electronic voting system.
01:04   But we already know in detail what codes were damaged and what viruses
01:08   were introduced into some of those voting machines.
01:12   Let’s say hello to Fernando Cerimedo.
01:15   He is a political advisor who has thoroughly analyzed all these irregularities.
01:20   Thank you for being here, Don Fernando. How do you do? Good afternoon to you guys, in Spain.
01:27   Well, today and tomorrow you are going to produce all the evidence of those flaws
01:32   and those substantial irregularities which you have detected
01:36   in Brazil’s electronic voting system in the recent elections.
01:40   Well, we already produced them on Friday, November 4.
01:45   We had received a piece of information from Brazil, in which anomalies were detected
01:51   that are mathematically and statistically impossible to occur.
01:57   I need to contextualize all this, to make you guys
02:00   figure out why this is happening, and why we cast doubts.
02:03   Which are not doubts any more, today: we do believe the elections were fraudulent.
02:08   In Brazil they vote with an electronic voting system
02:11   through machines whose model changes, depending on the year they were purchased.
02:16   There are six machine models, currently: the 2009 model, the 2010 one,
02:20   the 2011 one, the 2013 one, the 2015 one and the 2020 one.
02:23   These machines have specific features. The 2020 model has an internal memory, which is permanent.
02:30   And it needs an internet connection to transfer its data.
02:33   In addition, that model was audited for the elections.
02:37   The other previous five models have no internal memory, just a flash memory.
02:43   That is, you need a USB drive to collect information.
02:47   Lula Da Silva obtained a much wider margin
02:51   in all the voting machines that were not using the 2020 model,
02:55   as compared with those using the 2020 model.
02:58   Our analysis involved very small cities, with fewer than 50,000 and 100,000 voters,
03:04   which have a more or less homogeneous composition,
03:10   and which have a homogeneous distribution of machine models in the polling stations.
03:16   In a same polling station, for example,
03:19   there were all machine models, and this occurred in all cities.
03:23   There weren’t any polling stations with just one model, the distribution was pretty even.
03:27   In another polling station with a very similar composition,
03:32   Lula Da Silva obtained up to 20-point margins in some places, depending on the machine model.
03:37   I mean, people need to figure this out.
03:41   Don Fernando, the difference in the electoral results between audited machines
03:46   and non-audited machines is absolutely shocking.
03:50   It occurred not only in the small cities, but basically all over country, I guess.
03:55   It occurred in all of them. We focused on the smallest cities,
03:58   because, if we had focused on the capitals,
04:01   they would have told us that, you know, in capitals people vote very differently.
04:05   Well, in small cities people don’t vote that differently. It’s an impossible variable that
04:09   you go to a polling station with your family, friends, neighbors, and you all vote differently,
04:13   based on the machine model. For instance,
04:17   there are some patterns, which we included in the report, involving the Gaussian Curve.
04:21   The curve should be more or less equal, regardless of the model,
04:25   and yet there is a huge difference.
04:28   We have detected that in all regions. With the exception of the South,
04:34   where Bolsonaro obtained a wider margin, so such patterns didn’t occur there.
04:40   But in the North, Lula obtained a wide margin.
04:43   Nevertheless not only votes for Bolsonaro differed that way, but also those for other candidates.
04:49   And, incidentally, all those votes moved to candidate number thirteen, that is, Lula Da Silva.
04:54   Those were the first anomalies we produced in the report, on November 4.
05:01   With official data, public data. It deals with public data which are available
05:05   on the TSE [Supreme Electoral Tribunal] website.
05:09   And as soon as we told people, to do the same operation as us, and to download those data,
05:17   they removed them from the TSE page.
05:22   Mr. Cerimedo, I guess that yesterday too, they found out something else,
05:26   in addition to those anomalies and irregularities: a sort of virus in the voting machines.
05:31   What they found out is that the other models, other than the 2020 ones,
05:35   have a distinct software that could be defined as pirate software.
05:39   This is what we are going to produce, this week:
05:42   we are collecting all pieces of evidence in order to bring this to court.
05:46   Since it deals with something that can be litigated.
05:49   The army presented a report in which they stated there could have been a malware.
05:57   Which they couldn’t prove, because the TSE had denied them access.
06:00   And for the few they were allowed access to,
06:03   they affirmed that voting machines are not exempt from fraud.

3 thoughts on “Election-Hacking in Brazil

  1. Attorney Robert Barnes and Viva Frei discuss the Brazil election in this Rumble video, starting at the 40:00 mark.


    They claim that not only was Bolsanaro’s lawsuit was dismissed, but he was also fined.

    Bolsanaro is not getting fair consideration from the courts. Don’t forget, Brazil’s Supreme Court ordered that Lula be released from prison, allowing him to run for President.

    Robert Barnes advises against the Brazilian military from intervening.

    If the courts had allowed a fair investigation, and if it would show that indeed Lula won, I would accept that.

    But considering the judiciary is not neutral, I support military intervention.

    By the way, if one is interested in discussion of US litigation, the rest of the video is worth watching in my opinion.

  2. Article 142 of the Brazilian constitution gives the military the authority to audit elections and take any necessary actions resulting from said audit.

  3. Fortifying democracy not hacking.

    “The best argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter.”

    Winston Churchill

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