The regime in Tehran just celebrated the thirty-first anniversary of the Iranian revolution. Afshin Ellian is a Dutch writer who escaped from Iran, and, as regular readers know, Mr. Ellian is a supporter of Geert Wilders.
Our Flemish correspondent VH has translated an article from Elsevier by Afshin Ellian about the current situation in Iran:
Iran might explode any time now
by Afshin Ellian
Tehran February 11, 2010 — The city was breathing under the heavy shadow of a military regime. Everywhere there were soldiers. And yet the government claims that all citizens support the regime.
Carnival in Tehran. With buses the powerful were bringing mercenaries to Tehran. To prove to the world that they are supported by the people. But despite the camera techniques, they made no impression. The Carnival of Islamism, in which they convey America and England to the grave, is pretty amateurish stuff.
Who was really buried yesterday? The posters of Khamenei as well as Ayatollah Khomeini, the founder of all this misery, were torn and trampled.
They were present with all possible power. Tehran was a militarized city. Helicopters in the air, and soldiers in the streets. Yet they did not manage to raise fear anymore.
What did the state demonstration in other cities look like? In Tehran thy put up a show for the international press. But in Tabriz Isafahan we saw impoverished demonstrations in support of the government.
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The people were clear in their political demands: a referendum. That is what they demand of the rulers.
But the response of the government to the peaceful demonstration was, as always, hard and merciless. There was shooting and clubbing. That was no coincidence. The troops had been instructed to act ruthlessly.
The resistance managed to record a conversation between the police commander of Tehran and his troops. General Radan said to his men: “Act hard, make arrests. We will accept nothing else. No excuse. Act rock hard.”
So it is not inconceivable that the security services act tough. This is demonstrated among other places in this video. This is how they celebrate the anniversary of the Islamic revolution in Tehran. A boy here is cruelly mistreated by the security forces.
Yet the demonstrators dared to challenge the security forces with empty hands. We again see thereby the courageous women who walk the lead. They chanted: “Khamenei is a murderer and his regime is unjust. Independence, freedom and an Iranian republic.
There were also injured. And hundreds arrested. The release of political prisoners is the most urgent matter for the people. And that is also what the Western states may demand of Iran.
When will the final phase commence? Nobody knows the answer. Iran may explode any moment. The more so because the internal conflict within the regime between Khamenei and Rafsanjani is once again increasing.
This week, Rafsanjani visited Khamenei. [Khamenei was earlier called by Ellian “The Iranian Emperor Nero”] According to well-informed sources, Khamenei was warned: “If you touch me or my children, I will make public some very incriminating documents. Then you will really be in trouble with Israel and the West. These documents are not in Iran, but abroad.”
Where did Rafsanjani refer to? In the eighties of the last century Khamenei was the Special Envoy under Khomeini for the Iranian forces. Khamenei led the formation of Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. At that time in Lebanon innocent people had been taken hostage and slain. Would this have to do with that? It must be about Islamic terrorism. Or has it something to do with the contacts between Khamenei and Al-Qaeda?
Khamenei has only one solution: violence, also against his friends. For in the end the revolution eats its children.
To be continued.