Our Dutch correspondent H. Numan sends his observations about the Taiwan crisis, and the larger issues facing China.
China won’t be here for long
by H. Numan
For a few days China caught the full attention of the world. Will they start World War Three? That’s what usually happens, when you shoot down the Speaker of the House of another superpower. As I expected, it simply fizzled out. China didn’t shoot anyone down. Nor will they. It’s all just trying to impress. Pelosi was praised by Republicans and criticized by Democrats. Quite a change. And Brandon Biden? The poor old fool got egg on his face. Same for general Mark ‘Tranny’ Milley.
China can’t invade Taiwan, unless they want to better Operation Downfall. I’m not an expert, but casualties would be extremely high. A lot higher than back in 1945. Taiwan hasn’t been idle for the last 76 years. China won’t invade to save human lives. Far from it. Expect over a million casualties on the Chinese side alone. China is more than willing to expend that much human capital, they’ve got plenty of that. What they lack is expertise and capabilities. And the sure knowledge China would no longer exist if they do. That’s the sole reason they won’t invade.
Let’s start with that. China has grown massively the last couple of decades. From a Third World country into a Third World country with a large export based economy. Quite an achievement, to be honest. But with a catch: they rely almost entirely on imports for everything. Going to war would be the last war for the communist party. The boycott that hits Russia pretty hard would be deadly for China. China has to import most of its food and energy.
Unlike China, Russia is somewhat self sufficient. Sure, life will be hard. But when was life not hard in Russia? It’s not the end of the world for the Russians. Just another tough time. Russia doesn’t need a navy, as it doesn’t import or export a lot. Now look at China. Despite its big mouth, it utterly depends on the US Navy. If anything happens to Chinese maritime trade, it can do absolutely nothing about it. Apart from ships and crew, they lack everything. No experience. No logistics. It’s one thing to sail a ship from Shanghai to Alexandria; sailing a fleet or even a squadron is something else entirely. The Chinese navy can’t operate outside of mainland air cover. It won’t be able to do so for a long time to come.
Let’s say that Chinese salami slicing goes wrong. A missile goes off course and hits Taiwan. Don’t be surprised if right after that Somali pirates highjack a Chinese crude oil tanker, with Allied warships in the region looking the other way. “Out of respect for the sovereignty of the Chinese people.” After all, there is no real reason or need for the US Navy to protect what essentially is an enemy vessel.
What China is doing right now is extremely dangerous, mainly to itself. There is a reason for that. China needs to divert local attention elsewhere. If you have huge domestic problems, focus on a foreign enemy. It’s a tried and true method for all dictatorships. Sometimes it even works.
China realized after the invasion of Ukraine that all her plans of the last forty years to invade Taiwan have failed. That hurts! Hence the hullabaloo. A big part of the Chinese plan was to drop airborne troops and take over the government quickly. That’s pretty risky. It sometimes works, but usually it doesn’t. To remind you, the Germans tried the same when they invaded The Netherlands. It failed. The Allies tried it at Arnhem (Operation Market Garden) and failed. Operation Varsity was successful, but losses were very high. Montgomery was heavily criticized for it. More recent, Russian airborne troops and Spetsnaz tried to take over the airfield near Kiev and completely failed. Those troops were combat veterans with lots of experience. China doesn’t have any combat veterans or experience. None whatsoever. An airborne operation is a bit more complicated than dropping a bunch of troops out of a few planes.
Next, they were stunned by the economic response of the West to the Ukrainian invasion. It flabbergasted the Chinese government completely. Sure, they expected some companies would withdraw. But nearly all of them? Without being forced by Western governments? Over human rights issues? What’s going on? They’re supposed to look the other way and cash in! The Western government boycotts worried them even more. That has never happened. If the West boycotts China, it’s game over.
So saber-rattling is about all they can do, hoping that nothing untoward happens. Do mind that they are firing missiles all around Taiwan. If nothing really bad happens, it creates a nice precedent for next time.
The downfall of the middle kingdom
Now we get to the interesting bit. The People’s Republic of China is doomed. It won’t survive beyond 2030. Expect a total collapse into different regions from 2023 onward. The problems they face are insurmountable. The one child policy especially was a killer.
Mao encouraged people to have as many kids as they wanted. The more people China had, the more it would survive a nuclear war. In an extremely distorted way, he was right. The problem was that China couldn’t accommodate so many people. After Mao died, they set up the one child policy to counter it, from 1980 until 2015. By then the CCP discovered that it had worked too well. The census bureau calculated that the Chinese population will shrink to half its size in 2050. However, in 2020 the census bureau admitted they had miscalculated by 100 million. That means that the population is not going to shrink, it already is shrinking.
China is a socialist Third World country and therefore has no old-age pension, no health care, no labor protection, no nothing. Socialism doesn’t feed you, you feed socialism. That means that the only child is responsible for the welfare of his own and his wife’s parents. That’s a tough proposition, and the main reason why China cannot invade Taiwan. It’s not that the government cares about the welfare of the people, far from it. They’d be more than happy to sacrifice a million young men, if that would give them Taiwan. However, a million young dead men leave two million parents behind who will starve to death without the support of their sons. Once the body bags come back, massive revolts will break out.
Apart from having no old-age pension, no healthcare and no labor protection, China lacks a stock exchange and reliable banks. That’s why Chinese people invested (past tense) in real estate, when that became possible after the 1990s. The economic bubble burst last year, when Evergrande went bankrupt. Evergrande was the second-biggest real estate developer. It caused a massive drop in real estate prices that decimates (present tense) other developers. Chinese people are losing just about everything. It’s close to all stock exchanges collapse to zero at the same time in America.
It’s even worse, because the banks are complicit. They vastly overinvested in real estate that is now worthless. You can change ‘vastly’ with ‘criminally’ and you wouldn’t be far off. Their clients discovered that a week ago, when they couldn’t withdraw money anymore. That caused bank runs and huge riots. Just imagine that. Big riots in China, where any demonstration needs government approval, even if you were to demonstrate in favor of the government. At this moment the government is using tanks to quell the riots. That’s a bit much, even by Chinese standards. It’s not yet Tiananmen Square, but enough to seriously worry the government.
Next on the list is the Covid policy of the Chinese government. They haven’t any. For political reasons they refuse to work with Western MRNA vaccines. Their own vaccine, Sinovac, doesn’t work. It will take years before China has a working vaccine. Until then, it’s lockdown time! During the first years of the pandemic, China did reasonably well — as far as we can tell. Which isn’t very far, because China is a dictatorship. Once the Omicron variant struck, China’s economy went down the drain. Those lockdowns are no fun. People are literally locked up wherever they are. Sometimes welded or bricked into their houses. If they are at work, that’s where they stay. Until the lockdown is lifted. They have to sleep on the factory floors. Production is low to non-existent. Now they can’t hide the terrible economic situation anymore.
Apart from a bankrupt real estate industry there are more companies in big trouble. China stole high speed rail technology and build like mad. That worked well, when they started. Shanghai-Beijing is a profitable line. But Beijing-Ürümqi (Xinjiang, in the remote west) is not. Every city that could afford it tried to get connected to a high speed rail line. The result is that all railroad companies in China are running out of money as quickly as their trains go fast.
There is so much more that is going wrong, I can’t write everything down here. That would be a thick book. The environment has been destroyed under Mao. Visitors today (fifty years later!) still notice far fewer birds and other wildlife than expected. Then the South North Water Project, another waste of billions.
In summary, China has no way out. Each crisis is difficult to manage on its own, but when combined they are impossible. The demographic crisis especially trumps everything. We are witnessing the fall of communism, but don’t cheer: the price we will have to pay is high. Though just be thankful you’re not Chinese.
— H. Numan
RED capitalism paper tigers are in mean girl mode after the signal from Beijing Pelosi.
Operation Vodka Breath is the weak sauce with Lil’ Kim ACME rockets.
This whole article is wishful thinking, and what many of us in the West would like to believe. China is here to stay for a long time and replace the decaying American society.
The analysis is flawed in many ways. China can shrink by one half its current population and still be more that twice the size of the U.S.’s. It´s army may be mediocre, but so is the American army. The U.S. hasn’t won a single war since the shameful withdrawal from Korea in the 1950s (unless you want to call the Grenada invasion a “victory”). And while the average American citizens busy themselves with the latest Kardashian antics, the average Chinese citizens busy themelves with copying and stealing technological advancements in the West, studying at the leading U.S. higher learning institutions and testing biological warfare (remember Covid 19?) While the American average politicians busy themselves defining what is a woman, defending transgenderism or medling in the individual rights of self-defense and self-determination, the average Chinese politician is busy determining how to “buy” yet another major seaport in Africa, how to simulate a full-out war with Taiwan or how can to build a brand-new 10-million inhabitants city in 48 hours.
The Chinese may depend on imports, but they would show no remorse in grabbing them by force if say Iran decided not to send more oil to them or say Vietnam or South Korea stopped their trade with them. They would only have to march down an army 1/10 of their full force to overwhelm any of these other countries’ military.
And the world might boicot China exports, but it’s yet to be determined who would suffer the most. The American supply chain is in total disruption after the Chinese goods stopped flowing into the U.S. due to the covid affair. And China’s internal market could easily absorb the lack of exports to the rest of the world. Plus some of its patsies, like Iran, North Korea, Mongolia and a few other Far-East countries wouldn’t be so happy to join the boicot-China bandwagon.
China is ready to overtake the U.S. as the world’s superpower. Yes, they are a third-world socialist/communist nation, but so has become the U.S. The U.S. policy of the last 40 years of allowing the immigration of the best of the worst has changed it from an advanced First World superpower to a pathetic bunch of losers lead by the sorry likes of Odious 0bama, Biden, Pelosi or Gavin Newsome plus their entourages of trannys and acolytes chosen by the color of their skin and their sexual deviations rather than by their skills. The absorption of hundreds of thousand of pernicious, uneducated, fanatic muslims has already made a negative impact in many major American cities, and trying to accommodate the anti-Western, anti-modern and anti-progress idiosyncrasies of muslims will only back-fire in the near future. China rounds its muslims in contention cities (shocking!), Americans bring their (violent, backwards) muslims to Congress to add mayhem and chaos to the general public discourse (Ilhan Omar and Rashida Tlaib, anybody?).
So as much as I would like the words in this article to be prophetic, I won’t hold my breath. Unless the U.S. reverses its immigration policies plus it sends back home the last 20 million invaders, (sorry, immigrants) it received from muslim, african and assorted third world countries.
China has absolutely no need to invade Taiwan, which they can dominate by commercial methods, and is doing so with a ban on sand exports for its chip industry…And such a massive invasion is totally contrary to Chinese history…These people have memorized Sun Tzu, who said that the best victory is one achieved without fighting…
You have completely forgotten the Japanese, they run Taiwan and have for over 500 years, behind all Taiwanese industry is a Japanese face and the Japanese are not about to lose one of their most important assets.
Excellent rebuttal.
I concur. After all China has been around for centuries. America? Not so much. Chine will take back Taiwan whether they invade it or not. China will also try and take over the US. They already own and operate the US government and military.
the democRats of the USSA cut off aid to the Nationalist Chinese Army in their civil war with the Red Chinese Communist Army.
Did the same in Vietnam after American troops had been withdrawn.
Did the same in Afghanistan, a democRat Pattern develops.
rinoRats ride the global arms trade money train supplying the endless wars for profit and blood.
Everyone forgets that Japanese run Taiwan, not the Chinese.
BAM! Methinks you’ve nailed it. Large areas of geography, large swathes of people, and large factories producing stuff (albeit a lot of junk) just don’t “POOF!” disappear.
What you catalogue has a certain ring of truth, but the fact is–CHINA is here to stay.
Mostly correct.
This is a lucid take on the actual geo-political solution. The author, as with so many others, seems to be suffering from extreme assumption combined with extreme hubris. We in the West teeter on the edge while mocking those in line to replace us.
There were many things to take issue with this article but the display of ‘copium’ on display was fully cemented when the author decided to start talking about the efficacy of the wunder MRNA poison.
One thing I take issue with is your U.S. immigration description, “….allowing the immigration of the best of the worst…..” I don’t think they’re the best of the worst, more like the bottom tier of the worst.
I agree with you. My “best” qualifier can be misleading, By “best of the worst” I meant the best criminals, the best free-loaders, the best gangs, the best illiterates, the best lazy bums, the best rapists. Take the ultra-violent “Mara Salvatruchas” (or MS-13) from Honduras and El Salvador, the cartel-operatives and smugglers from Mexico, or the [fundament]-lifting, koran-reading, teen-molesting cave-dwellers from Afghanistan, Pakistan or Somalia. Not exactly the kind of immigration that enlightens societies and elevates standards of living.
Well said. The west is losing it’s mind. Hoping the other guy fails is not a plan. The Russians were running out of everything in April also. Meanwhile the public in Taiwan is asking WTF America? Pelosi setting us up as next Ukraine?
BTW the China of today is a Frankenstein of the west’s own making – from being ‘discovered’ by the Jesuits , British evil and opium, to the Anglo-American interference since Sun Yat Sen , through Mao and since Nixon using their people to enrich ‘investors’ (parasites) and smash the western middle class. China has problems but they are not ruled by a dementia patient or EU clowns.
You dropped your mask: “China is here to stay for a long time and replace the decaying American society.”
China will OF COURSE not disappear completely. It will break up and go through a warring states period. Not the first time that happened, and it won’t be the last.
China was for thousands of years
You are delusional
Chinese civilization is here to stay
In spite of the Communist trolls, the CCP will not survive. China is NOT the CCP! The CCP is NOT Chinese culture. Red China has tried its best to destroy that culture, which Taiwan, the Republic of China, has preserved.
‘Apart from having no old-age pension, no healthcare and no labor protection, China lacks a stock exchange and reliable banks.’
Sigh. Must I point out readily available facts again?
Social welfare in China
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_welfare_in_China
Shanghai Stock Exchange
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Stock_Exchange
This is a 3rd rate analysis paid by the same people that run theWEF, Inc.
China looks good compared to the vast majority of countries in the world. Relatively speaking.
China can strangle Taiwan with a blockade. Simple.
A blockade is an act of war.
So, who‘ll react? Taiwan?
The bloody Japanese run Taiwan, and the Japanese will defend Taiwan as their own because they own it.
What was the Cuba blockade? What are sanctions? What did the JUSA do when it conquered Iraq and Libya? America stopped obeying International Law many decades ago, son.
China and Russia feel therefore no such constraint.
And finally what does Ukraine do EVERY DAY? Huh?
There is no such bloody thing as international law, it’s a bloody joke. Sovereign countries with any self respect ignore it.
The US clearly has problems. But the US has the most flexible economy in the world – by far. China’s economy has lacks the entrepreneurial talent found in every sector of the US. From computer chips to potato chips, most all advances in the past 100+ years have come from the USA. And the US economy can change directions on a dime.
The US political system is clearly the biggest potential problem. If the democrats steal another election the likely outcome could be Civil War II. But the American system was even created for this eventuality. The 2nd Amendment and 550+ million guns and way too many veterans and patriots most likely get back to constitutional law.
China needs the US and Western world way more than the opposite. And taking Taiwan will not be a cake walk for the CCP.
“The US clearly has problems. But the US has the most flexible economy in the world…. From computer chips to potato chips, most all advances in the past 100+ years have come from the USA. And the US economy can change directions on a dime.”
That was once true, but not since “capitalism with American characteristics” (financial and military capitalism) largely killed off American industry.
Gawd, what [material I deprecate].
Opinions are welcomed, please provide links and be prepared to defend your arguments.
Westerners calling chinese banks unreliable is laughable, pot meet kettle
China has no stock market? Really? Yeah, if you can’t even take 5 seconds to google up some facts, [ad hominem redacted]
Never post this author here again, they are [insult redacted].
The feelings are mutual. Never hope to see a response from such a [insult redacted] [insulting noun redacted].
Chinese Banks are notoriously unreliable.
https://www.indiatvnews.com/news/world/china-gold-fraud-busted-biggest-gold-counterfeiting-scandal-in-china-4-percent-fake-gold-reserves-631090
They always were, and will be for a long time to come.
What you are saying is exactly what the West said when they sanctioned Russia. How’s that working out?
Pretty well, actually. Sanctions won’t cause Russia to cease their war immediately. That’s not possible. In the long run, Russia won’t be able to recover. It’s the economic equivalent of dusting the country with radiation. You don’t notice anything until it’s far too late.
This is the last offensive war Russia will fight this century.
Au Contraire my dear friend Numan, the Russians have the largest gold deposits in the world, not including other precious metals that have in spades, they will survive and thrive when the west falls, as for the red chinks, they will try to invade Taiwan at some point because it is a matter of national pride for them, unfortunately for the Red Chinks, the Japanese quietly build their navy by the day putting out 5-10 warships a month and other offensive systems nobody is paying attention too. Taiwan is run by the Japanese, behind every corporation is a Japanese face and they owned Taiwan for over 500 years before WWII. They will fight for it.
Victoria built the North South water pipeline for $750million and we haven’t turned that on yet either as the drought ended and it has rained a lot since despite everyone lying it would not. Green fantasies. I see echoes of the Chinese situation in Victoria.
Too simple. Lets take your prognostication forward. So lets assume the CCP collapses. What happens next? A series of warlords rise to power in the region. Don’t have to believe me, read a book on Chinese history. It has happened several times in the past.
So which would be more preferable? A single state with nukes or 5-6 warlords with nukes? I am not proposing one is better than the other. But what I will suggest is that it is highly more likely that some hot head warlord would light off a nuke than the CCP would.
Looking at ancient history and saying, “It could happen again”???? That’s it? Not adequate for further response.
everybody who think china will ever be equal in intellectual or economical output to europe or the US is delusional. When china finally adopts (or better steals the blueprints of) laser cannons, the west will already shoot with phaser cannons. 🙂
A communist regime can never be better than a democratic one. (even if the democratic one have alot of problems and failures, but the communist systems will always be inferior) Maybe the chinese are better at stealing tech or crowd control, but thats it.
From what I’ve read, both Russia and China have hypersonic missiles. The US supposedly does not. Where did they steal that tech from? How about maglev trains? Did they steal the tech for that? I don’t see anything in the US like the system they have in China. And even if they did steal it, what good is having the tech, if you don’t have the ability to implement it?
The US dropped research (rightly) in the 70-80’s. They found it a waste of money. All you can do with it is hasten Armageddon a few minutes.
Maglev: doesn’t (economically) work.
The “70-80’s” were nigh 50 years ago. As the news reels used to say, “Time marches on.” When hypersonic missiles were looked at then it was a matter of inventing technology in order to invent technology, obviously no longer the case. At the same time the U.S. was outstripping the USSR, the only recognized adversary at the time, in a wide array of other fields, plus the Pentagon was fully internalizing the doctrine that their primary purpose was to support defense contractors while fighting adversaries to a draw, much the same reason the Star Wars program was placed on the back burner. The money/effort was diverted to deeper social engineering projects.
While hypersonic missiles may be used in conjunction with nuclear weapons that is not their core purpose. Primarily they are to abrogate defensive systems while reducing decision/reaction windows from minutes to seconds through sheer speed. U.S. conventional might in the Western Pacific rests entirely on three aircraft carrier groups and its Tomahawk armed submarine fleet. Render the carriers hors de combat, which feasibly could be done with one conventional warhead hit each much less a tactical nuke, and the U.S. is in the moral decision hammer-lock of initiating Armageddon or yielding the field, hence the recent media interest in extracting a U.S. commitment of “no first strike”. So yes, hypersonic missiles have a real potential role in the art of war.
Unlike American flag officers, who are trained first and foremost to sit in defense contractor board rooms, with their Rolodex at the ready (despite Adm Stockdale’s admonishments), the ChiComs appear to possess a more than dilettante interest in the military arts and war, in all its iterations, as diplomacy by other means. Sun Tzu would never denigrate a any weapon, only its abuse, neglect, or misapplication.
Maglev suffers under the same limitation as AI. The technology to optimize the technology doesn’t yet exist. Quantum computing, which it would appear the ChiComs are also at least a half decade ahead of the U.S., will change that dramatically. Most particularly AI, which in turn will make all sorts of things feasible, for better or worse.
they had a maglev track installed by a german firm and patent, then dropped the deal…..and copied the thing( which they always did)
There’s an article on Unz Review by a Chinese American that says the complete opposite of everything in the article. How do you reconcile the two? https://www.unz.com/article/why-i-love-china-and-the-cpc/
I believe the article was written by the young offspring of the author who is named. I estimate the developmental age of the content and style to be about 7th or 8th grade assignment given by a public school teacher.
Of course, only anti-BRICS, pro NATO/JUSA/NWO palaver will be given a passing grade.
Apart from your ad hominem, anything relevant to say?
Considering the vaccine related deaths and injuries that have occurred, and are starting to go parabolic. That China hasn’t adopted the mRNA vaccinations is probably a good thing.
Every US serviceman who was injected with the Death Shot will be dead in a few years. Fortunately for Chinese military, they stayed away from the West’s poison. Taiwan didn’t stay away and its soldiers will be dead soon as a result of the deadly “vaccine”.
After the [material that I deprecate] Mr Numan wrote about the Russia-Ukraine war I should have been warned not to read his thoughts on China. Well, I did, and they’re on a par with his thoughts on Russia.
“They haven’t any. For political reasons they refuse to work with Western MRNA vaccines. Their own vaccine, Sinovac, doesn’t work.”
Uh, as a Westerner myself, I won’t work with Western mRNA COVID injections either. And they also don’t work. That is unless you consider compromising immune systems and producing massive numbers of severe adverse reactions as “working” … as the WEF cohorts quite possibly may do.
The entire international community holds that Taiwan is part of China, legally (that’s why no one has a mutual defense treaty with Taiwan). China, therefore, would be entitled to declare imports and exports that they do not approve as contraband and establish an enforcement patrol to stop “illicit” smuggling. The Taiwan gov’t has no legal standing to argue against it to my knowledge. By its own reasoning it is a province of China. Whether it recognizes the current gov’t of China as legitimate is irrelevant unless Taiwan wants to
a) declare independence, thereby renouncing its own claim as the legitimate gov’t of China, and hope the U.S. has the will to expend blood and treasure to assist her effort and the actual capacity to do so; or
b) initiate military action to reconquer the mainland, and hope the U.S. has the will to expend blood and treasure to assist her effort and the actual capacity to do so.
See the common thread.
To think China will let her go without bloodshed is delusional; likewise to think the status quo will extend indefinitely.
It’s interesting that, despite a thousand years of legalistic mechanizations, we see the inevitable return to trial-by-combat as the definitive means to establish/maintain legitimacy/sovereignty from the personal through the state.
Pssst, Tom, the Japanese are not going to let the red chinks have Taiwan.
What everyone has missed in their discussion of Taiwan is Japan. So let me enlighten a few of you where Taiwan is concerned, Taiwan is owned and run by the Japanese, behind every corporation is a Japanese face or Japanese board with a Taiwanese face on its company logo, they run the chip market, not the Nationalists Chinese. Ever since Obummer had the apology tour and threw the Japanese under the bus, the Japanese went on a total rearmament program to the point they are building warships at 5-10 ship a month, building self made missile /offensive and defensive programs, self made fighter aircraft that rival anything the Americans have in the Pacific Theater, Improved German designed Leopard II tanks with Japanese systems. They also have quietly armed Taiwan to the teeth with missiles that can take out ships and planes by the thousands and troops to train and shore up the Taiwanese. A little bit of curious information, after WWII, they never got rid of the Bushido Code of the Imperial Japanese Navy, and the Japanese are motivated and capable, and I would say much more so than the American Navy. They will or have already exceeded the US Navy in both ships, aircraft and missile systems shortly. I find this rather curious, that nobody has put Japan in this whole red chink invasion equation. Curious ain’t it ?
H. Numann, Thank you for this catalog of the woes of China, but there is one that you have overlooked: genetic degradation.
Take a close look at the “Long Live Chairman Mao!” poster that illustrates your article. Focus on the girl in the foreground on the right, wearing light green. On each hand she has a thumb and only three fingers!
I think most of the comments say it all… they mostly disagree with the author, as do I. I find this article highly suspect and reeks of some hidden agenda, something the average politician would do. I always felt H. Numann was suspect and this solidifies it for me.
Polling is a poor way to get at truth. People see what they wish to see, wish what they wish to wish, and hope springs eternal.
https://dailycaller.com/2022/08/09/paige-spiranac-low-cut-outfit-golf-club-head-covers-twitter/
Mr. Numan is entitled to his opinion/argument and I am free to disagree. Since neither of us are, to my knowledge, being consulted by the overlords the discussion is mainly academic, nothing personal. Either way it’s going to be a helluva ride so I recommend everyone buckle-up, keep your arms and legs inside the car, and if you must spew attempt to lean outboard and not direct it straight forward.
“One hears many things, my Lord. Which among them is the truth is not clear.”
Pius Thicknesse – Harry Potter The Deathly Hallows